Daily Archives: August 18, 2019

Time posted: 2:02 am

More Sizzle and A Few Storms

Good Sunday to one and all. We have another hot and humid day taking shape across the Commonwealth. A few scattered showers and storms may try to join the party, but those look very isolated. Changes do show up for the week ahead as a cold front gets ready to press in here with an increase in storms and a decrease in temps.

I’m also going to take a look at the rest of August into the middle of September.

As usual, let’s talk about today right off the bat. Temps will generally be in the lower 90s for many areas with humidity levels adding to the uncomfortableness of the air. Any shower or storm would be welcome, but don’t hold your breath on one. Here’s regional radar in case you do…

Scattered showers and storms will be noted on Monday and Tuesday as temps stay in a similar range to today…

A cold front then enters the picture by Wednesday, with several models now slowing this down through Thursday. That would bring us a prolonged chance for showers and storms…

Cooler air comes in behind that for the end of the week into the weekend, but a back and forth temperature pattern is likely to follow that. This should skew warmer than normal, but may also skew wetter than normal. The GFS Ensembles continue to show above average rainfall over the next two weeks. Here are the rainfall departures…

This wetter than normal trend is echoed by the CFS Weekly forecasts. Here are the weekly temperature and precipitation anomalies…

I know those aren’t the best maps, but they give you a good look at the setup across North America.

If we expand that out through the first two weeks of September, the CFS goes cooler than normal for much of the country…

That is an interesting look and one I wouldn’t really complain too much about. 🙂

Have a great day and take care.

31 Comments