Daily Archives: September 12, 2019

Time posted: 1:42 am

Changes On The Horizon

Good Thursday, everyone. Out hot pattern continues for a few more days, but changes are showing up in the short term and the longer term. We have a cold front on the way to start the upcoming weekend and the potential for a Gulf tropical system to bring us rain early next week.

The heat we are seeing for the middle of September is super impressive. In looking back through the September history books, 1954 stands out. That September gave us several days deep into the 90s and even a few low 100s early in the month. It was also a busy hurricane season along the east coast.  You know what else is interesting about 1954? It snowed on the final three days of October. 🙂

Let’s get back to 2019 and the weather going on out there today. Temps are back into the 90s with lots of humidity filling the air. A few showers and storms may go up once again……

A cold front moves in here late Friday with another 90+ temp day ahead of it. A few scattered showers and storms will also go up with a line of showers and storms pushing in along the front by evening. This could impact high school football action.

This front appears to have a little more push to it and may actually drop just to our south on Saturday. A few showers and storms could be noted early on,especially in the south and east. The air behind this front looks MUCH cooler with lower humidity. Here are the forecast highs on the NAM…

The air may actually feel comfy through early Sunday with lows hitting the 50s. Woot!

Steamy air returns by late this weekend and early next week as the overall pattern becomes pretty interesting. Let’s begin with the tropics where we are likely to see a depression form soon with this system near the Bahamas. It will then dross Florida and go into the Gulf…

That may very become a storm as it heads toward the Gulf Coast. From there, there’s a chance to get rain from that system into our part of the world by the middle of next week.

Here are the latest forecasts from the tropical models…

The European Model brings that system our way…

You will also notice a big dip in the jet stream across the plains. That’s the major trough idea I’ve been talking about for a while now. The Euro brings that in here by the end of next week as a potential hurricane bears down on the southeast…

There is a lot going on in this pattern, so we have wait and see how it all plays out, but it is a vastly different setup from the one we are in now.

Have a good one and take care.

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