Daily Archives: October 3, 2019

Time posted: 7:35 pm

Fall Finally Finds Kentucky

Good evening, everyone. Our historic heat wave is now a thing of the past as fall finally arrives here in the bluegrass state. This kicks off a pattern that skews normal to slightly below normal over the next week or so, with RAIN also on the way. Woot!

The front this evening is producing gusty winds, a few clouds and crashing temps. There isn’t much in the way of rain, but an isolated shower or storm is possible…

Temps by Friday morning are generally in the 50s, but a few upper 40s will show up in the north and west. Friday looks phenomenal with temps upper 60s north to mid 70s south. A quick drop occurs Friday evening, setting the stage for lots of 40s by Saturday morning.

Saturday is a windy and warmer day as clouds increase ahead of our Sunday-Monday rain maker. Another cold front moves in and should have a wave of low pressure along it. The end result will be widespread rain and a few thunderstorms. The European Model continues to spit out a lot of rain…

Soaking rains are likely during this time, with some areas picking up more than 1″-2″ of water.

Chilly temps will be coming in with the rain and should give us a few days of highs in the 60s into the first half of next week. Lows may flirt with the upper 30s in a few spots.

Another front then moves in by the end of the week and could bring another shot of rain and even chillier temps…

GFS

European

Early indications are for a frost or light freeze next weekend…

The overall pattern looks to be flipping on a dime and may even take on a winter look later in the month. Could the 1939 analog continue to show the way? It’s very interesting at this point.

Have a great evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:54 am

A Change to Fall FINALLY Shows Up

Good Thursday, everyone. Fall is about to finally find us as a strong cold front moves in later today. This front won’t have very much moisture with it, but it is going to really chill it down over the next few days. This is a major pattern change that will likely bring us a healthy shot of much needed rain by Sunday and Monday.

Let’s begin with our cold front of today and roll forward. Temps ahead of this front will be back into the 90-95 degree range across the eastern half of the state, with more record highs likely to fall. A heck of a temperature gradient will then show up as the front moves in from the west.

This front won’t have very much shower and storm action, if any. But, if it does, you will find it here…

Temps behind this will be awesome for Friday. Temps range from the upper 40s to middle 50s to start the day, with afternoon temps generally in the 70-75 degree range. A few spots in the north may not get out of the upper 60s. BRING. IT. ON.

Friday evening looks great for high school football action as temps drop into the 50s by late evening. Saturday starts in the chilly 40s, but warm into the middle 70s to low 80s for many with warmer numbers south and west. Winds will gust up and clouds will increase as we get ready for our late weekend cold front. That front bring showers and thunderstorms to the region, with the best threat across central and eastern parts of the state…

GFS

Canadian

Beneficial rains are likely through Monday, especially in the central and east…

The European Model continues to have the most widespread and heaviest rains…

Temps are going to be seasonally cool/chilly under this system and behind it. Readings may not get out of the 60s for several days as lows make a run at 40.

Another deep trough shows up on the models behind this later next week…

The models have a frost threat behind that front…

Yes, please! 🙂

I will try to throw you another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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