Daily Archives: October 13, 2019

Time posted: 7:26 pm

Sunday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. I wanted to drop by for an update to get y’all caught up on a very chilly and busy pattern for the next few weeks. We have a series of cold fronts on the way and these fronts should bring gusty winds, showers and storms and some major real deal fall chill.

Since I miss you guys with the Saturday update, here’s a blowout post to make up for it. 🙂

Before we look ahead, let’s look back on our frosty morning…

That’s back to back mornings with temps below freezing for many.

Our Monday looks awesome with a chilly morning and mild afternoon. Clouds will filter in during the afternoon as we get ready for our winter looks setup for late Tuesday into Wednesday. A potent system dives in from the northwest and brings a shot of October chill with it. At the same time, low pressure develops to our south and hooks up with the disturbance from the northwest. This cranks out a big storm going up the east coast…

That brings showers and a few storms to us late Tuesday and Tuesday night with some wraparound clouds and showers possible into Wednesday. If the clouds hang tough, that’s a cold day with temps that may not get out of the 40s for many areas…

Another frost and a light freeze would then be possible by Thursday and Friday mornings.

Temps should rebound quickly by the weekend as another powerhouse of a storm system cranks to our west. This will bring showers and storms our way and the setup may evening produce a few strong storms. As that passed by, watch the cold surge back in…

You can see a second surge of cold on the way at the tail end of that run of the European Model.

The European Model is showing quite a bit of rain over the next 10 days…

The GFS shows this first storm system and then the next system with another blast of cold and even a touch of winter…

The GFS Ensembles are showing the active pattern with above normal rainfall over these next two weeks…

It would be something to see this fall average above normal rainfall as a whole, even with the record driest September factored in. Extremes, my friends.

I’ll see you guys later tonight for another update. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:26 am

Frost On The Pumpkins

Good Sunday, everyone. Widespread frost starts our Sunday, with a few areas even getting in on a light freeze. This comes on the heels of our big temperature drop to start the weekend, kicking off a very chilly pattern that carries us into the week ahead.

Temps this morning will be in the low and mid 30s for many, with some upper 20s showing up. Allergy sufferers rejoice! Sunny skies will be noted this afternoon with temps hitting the 60s.

Monday looks like another picture perfect fall day with readings in the 60s as a few clouds increase. Those clouds are ahead of our next system rolling in here for Tuesday and Wednesday. This is a winter looking system with energy diving in from the northwest, meeting up with low pressure coming out of the south. Those two hook up to form a big storm along the east coast…

That brings in a similar cold shot compared to the one we have now. Frosty mornings and chilly afternoons will be noted behind this system.

Temps look to rebound by next weekend as moisture quickly increases. The latest GFS shows a nice rainmaker ahead of another cold shot…

Obviously, that model shows a shot at winter weather across parts of the region. The GFS has been hinting at this for a while now, but it varies on exactly when. The run from earlier Saturday had the chance a few days after the above run…

The models really really like some of those October analog years I posted about back in September. Maybe they were on to something?

I will update things again later today. Have a good one and take care.

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