Daily Archives: October 18, 2019

Time posted: 8:33 pm

Kicking Off The Weekend

Good evening, gang. We are rolling into the weekend with all eyes on a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. This system will likely bring a few showers into parts of Kentucky before the weekend is over. From there, we get a potent cold front to sweep in with strong storms for Monday. And then… 🙂

Tropical Storm Nestor continues to churn toward the Florida Panhandle and should make landfall early Saturday. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

This storm heads toward the Carolinas, but will throw some rain into Kentucky. The main area will be across the southeast. Here’s the rainfall map from the NAM…

This sets the stage for a very strong cold front to blast the state on Monday. Showers and storms become widespread and some of the storms may be on the strong side and produce high winds…

Heavy rainfall is also likely with these storms.

Temperatures come down quickly on a gusty northwest wind behind the departing front. After a rebound in the numbers, we focus on the next system rollin in by the end of the week into next weekend. The models continue to vary on how to handle this, but they all agree on some cold air getting involved in a low pressure system…

The cold look continues to show up very strongly on the operational models and the ensembles. Check out how far below normal the average the numbers get from the 21 member GFS ensembles…

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:36 am

It’s A Busy Pattern Taking Shape

Good Friday, everyone. It’s an absolutely gorgeous end to the week and that rolls into the start of the upcoming weekend. From there, we watch a tropical system in the Gulf, a potent cold front arriving on Monday and a much colder than normal pattern taking shape.

Temps this morning are below freezing in some areas,but a nice recovery is on the way this afternoon. Temps will be into the 60s this afternoon with a partly to mostly sunny sky showing up.

A tropical storm down in the Gulf of Mexico is rolling toward the Florida Panhandle today. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

That system will throw clouds our way for Saturday and Sunday and could even bring a few showers into the region. The best chance is across the southeast late Saturday into very early Sunday.

Temps this weekend turn mild with highs generally in the 70s.

Another powerful cold front then rumbles across the state Monday into Monday night. This will likely produce a line of showers and strong storms that races from west to east. High winds are possible with this setup…

Heavy rains are also possible with these storms. Check out some of the totals from the GFS…

Much colder air sweeps in behind the boundary with temps in the 50s for Tuesday.

From there, we watch the setup for late next week. This will feature another major dip in the jet stream and blast of cold air coming into the country. This is likely to spawn a storm system that may work into our region about a week from now. That system may have some cold air to work with, so that may be fun to watch.

I think the bigger push of cold comes right after that and this is the one that has a shot to bring a touch of winter into the region for the final week of the month. The European Ensembles are growing a little louder with this potential…

I will hook you all up with another update later today. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

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