Daily Archives: October 21, 2019

Time posted: 7:43 pm

A Windy and Wet Cold Front

Good evening, everyone. Our cold front continues to roll across the state, bringing showers and a few storms to the bluegrass state. This will usher in much colder air for Tuesday as the front passes well to our east. After that, the weekend system is starting to come into better focus and so is the potential for a winter looking pattern that follows.

This evening’s showers and rumbles of thunder are mainly across central and eastern Kentucky and this action will end later tonight. Gusty winds and heavy rainfall will accompany some of this action. Here are your evening trackers…

Gusty winds and chillier temps will be noted on Tuesday. The day may begin with some showers in the east and sun elsewhere, but a few backwash clouds drop back in from the northwest in the afternoon. Much of the day may feature temps struggling to get out of the 50s.

Wednesday and Thursday look flat out awesome.

Our weekend system continues to show up differently on the models, but I’m strongly leaning toward the European and Canadian solutions. They feature a slow-moving storm coming out of the deep south with gusty winds, heavy rain and chilly air…

The European is getting faster with that system as it sheds the bias of holding energy back. That also impacts the next system coming behind that into the middle of next week. That system will be on the leading edge of arctic air pouring into the country. Look what the new EURO cranks out across the Ohio Valley…

What’s interesting is that most models are locking in on the cold, but vary on the chance for winter precip showing up by the end of the month into the start of November. Look at the arctic cold numbers on the Canadian as close out October…

Those numbers are for an October morning, folks. Wow.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:15 am

Strong Storms and Gusty Winds Today

Good Monday, everyone. Our potent cold front is rolling into the region today, bringing the potential for strong to severe storms. This front is also going to be a very windy one as much colder air presses in behind this for the next few days. This continues to be part of a very active pattern for late October and one that will take on more of a winter look across the country.

As always, we begin with what’s happening out there today. A line of showers and thunderstorms will develop and roll from west to east across the state.

Damaging winds will be the main threat from the storms as they move through. In addition to the high winds, these storms will pack a lot of rain. Some areas may pick up 1″-2″ of rain from these fall boomers. I will have your tracking toys in a bit.

Much colder air comes in behind this for Tuesday. Winds will be very gusty as temps likely stay in the 50s for much of the day. Wednesday and Thursday still look good with near normal temps and dry skies.

The late week\weekend system continues to be a bit of a mystery in how it unfolds. The models continue to be in similar camps that they’ve been in the past few days. The GFS is super progressive with the storm…

The Canadian is in the camp of the recent European runs as it slowly brings out a big storm system…

Like most things, I suspect the truth lies somewhere in between those solutions. It is interesting to note how the Canadian is also mirroring the European in how it handles the next system early next week. Watch this massive plains storm unleash arctic air behind it and try to bring it east…


Another update comes your way later today. Until then, I leave you with today’s storm tracking tools…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.