Daily Archives: October 30, 2019

Time posted: 7:32 pm

Halloween Eve Update

Good evening, everyone. On this Halloween Eve, we continue to track rounds of very heavy rain across the region. This action is ahead of our major temp drop on Halloween and it’s one that can give us our first flakes of the season before the day is over.

Some areas are now approaching 2″ of rain on the day, with a lot more to go tonight into early Halloween. I’ll have your tracking toys in a bit.

Let me start with our a new Kentucky Weather podcast to throw at ya. We talk a lot about the Halloween weather and I even throw in a few winter hints…

The rest of our forecast appears to be on track with our much anticipated temperature plunge on Halloween. That more than 30 degree drop in temps may also lead to some snowflakes flying around from late afternoon into the evening.

Here’s the temp drop…

The wind chill forecast continues to be absurd…

The chance for a few snowflakes continues to show up pretty well…

Again, that wouldn’t be more than some flakes flying and not everyone would see it. Still, it’s pretty awesome to see.

Temps behind all this drop deep into the 20s by Friday morning with highs only in the 40s. It’s a cold weekend in store as another weak front drops in. That looks to be dry, but we will need to watch that northwest wind.

The setup then features several systems diving in from the northwest into next week. There’s the chance for some clippers to impact our weather and I could see one of them really trying to amplify. We’re also seeing a lot of cold getting into the mix and some of the model forecasts are for temps to be WAY below normal…

Dang!

Here are your evening rain trackers…

Make it a great evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:02 pm

Wednesday Midday Update

Good afternoon, folks. Rounds of heavy rain and some thunder continue to work across the Commonwealth, but the focus is on a wild Halloween. A major temperature crash is on the way and this will give some areas the first taste of winter weather before the big day is finished.

Today’s rain comes at us in waves and we’ve already seen some areas with well over 1″ of rain. Local high water issues will be possible.

The cold air on Halloween continues to show up faster and faster. Watch how quickly the numbers drop into the 30s from west to east, with the 20s showing up Thursday night…

And those wind chills continue to look brutal…

As far as the chance for flakes is concerned, we continue to see this potential showing up a little better as we get closer. Watch the flakes fly on the Hi Res NAM…

Here are the areas the model thinks has a little snow flying at some point…

Again, it would just be a few flakes. but it’s awesome to see this early.

I will have another update later today, so check back. I leave you with your rain tracking toys…

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:16 am

Tracking Our Wild Halloween Setup

Good Wednesday to one and all. Our Halloween Howler kicks off today with the first waves of rain and thunderstorms. From there, things get interesting for Halloween as temps plummet, potentially setting the stage for a snowflake or two by evening.

Let’s start with what’s going on today and roll forward. A few rounds of showers and thunderstorms will roll across the state, but it’s not raining the entire day. You will get some breaks in the action.

The severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center only has a very low end risk across the south and southeast…

I will get to your tracking tools in a bit.

Gusty showers and thunderstorms will be with us tonight and into early on Halloween, but our monster of a storm system and cold front will soon take center stage. A more than 30 degree temp drop is likely during the daylight hours on Thursday as the front moves through. Central and eastern Kentucky will be in the 60s to near 70 in the morning with the west in the 30s. Temps then drop into the 30s from west to east during the day and then into the 20s Thursday night…

When we add the wind to the mix, you get some stupid cold wind chill numbers…

Ouch!

Can we get a few snowflakes to mix in at some point on Halloween? That’s, at least, a possibility for some. Here’s the Hi Res NAM…

The Canadian continues to have a little better coverage of flake potential…

Again, this would only be a few flakes if we get them.

This weekend finds another cold front dropping in, bringing reinforcing cold air. This is a very cold pattern developing for the new month and we will have to be on guard for clippers that can dig into the region, starting later next week. The models continue to sniff this potential out…

This is a setup that can bring accumulating snows at some point before Thanksgiving.

I will have additional updates later today, so check back. I leave you with your rain and storm tracking tools…

Make it a great day and take care.

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