Monthly Archives: November 2019

Time posted: 7:48 pm

Friday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. Rain is working into the region from the west and we have a lot of drops to come through Saturday night. Heavy rainfall will then be followed by a light snowfall coming Sunday night into Monday as an upper level system drops in from the northwest.

Rainfall through Saturday night will be a general 1″-2″ for many, with local 3″ amounts possible. This could result in some local high water issues, especially if a few thunderstorms get into the mix.

Here are your radars to track the increase in rains…

As the rain ends early Sunday, temps crash from northwest to southeast. That’s when rain and snow develops and works in here as the upper level system shows up. This changes to wet snow Sunday night with snow showers showing up on a strong northwest wind on Monday…

Light accumulations are likely during this time and this should wind up being an advisory type event.

Here are the snow totals on the NAM

The GFS continues to catch on…

Winds are going to be super gusty through the weekend…

Check out those cold wind chills Sunday and Monday…

I’ll see you guys later tonight. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:51 pm

A Lot Of Rain Before Some Snow

Good afternoon, folks. Our next big storm system is about to slam our part of the world with heavy rain, some thunder, high winds and the increasing potential of a light snowfall. That’s going to make for an interesting weekend for Thanksgiving travelers heading back home.

Rounds of heavy rain develop this evening and continue through Saturday night. Some thunder and lightning may also join the fun. A general 1″-2″ of rain will be noted for many across the state, with locally higher amounts possible. This could even lead to local high water concerns.

Here’s a check of the rain numbers from the models…

GFS

Canadian

Hi Res NAM

They differ a bit on placement, but the general theme is the same.

As we get into late Sunday, an upper level system dives in behind this and will bring rain and snow into the state. That will make the transition to wet snow Sunday night with snow showers continuing into Monday. Light accumulations are likely and I can see this being an Advisory type event.

Here’s the  NAM snow numbers…

The Canadian…

As we get closer, the GFS is finally seeing the light snowfall potential…

This is a setup to where it can actually snow pretty hard at times Sunday night and early Monday. Throw in winds of 30mph or greater and we can get a nice look. BTW, those winds may reach 40mph at times Saturday night.

I will have another update later this evening. I leave you with your friendly Friday radars…

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:30 am

Here Comes Another Big Storm System

Good Friday, everyone. As the shopping world goes crazy today, we are turning our attention toward another big ticket storm system rolling our way for the weekend. This is going to being a lot of different weather at us, with everything from thunderstorms to snow possible.

Before that system full arrives, it’s going to throw clouds and some rain at us today. Temps will continue to run seasonally chilly with showers developing from west to east from late afternoon into the evening. Here are your trackers to start things out…

Let’s give you a little breakdown of how I expect the rest of the weekend to play out…

  • Occasional rain is likely from tonight through Saturday night. Some thunder and lightning could join the party from time to time.
  • Rainfall totals of 1″-2″ will be possible.
  • Temps will be all over the place on Saturday, but the trend will be to go from chilly early in the day, to milder in the evening. Highs may occur a little before midnight.
  • Winds will be a big player this weekend and could top 40mph or a little higher.
  • Sunday will be an interesting day as high temps come very early in the morning. We may even see a period of sunshine. Once into the afternoon, temps crash and clouds increase from northwest to southeast.
  • Rain and snow will quickly develop by evening and then switch to wet snow Sunday night. As our winds turn northwesterly on Monday, snow showers could be fairly widespread across the central and east.
  • Light snow accumulations are a good bet during this time.

The NAM only goes through Monday morning at 7am, but continues to show what I’m talking about…

This is another big wind maker and could produce 40mph+ winds…

Here’s the snow map from that run…

This continues to match what the Canadian has been saying for days and days now. The latest run is no different…

The ICON continues to see the potential for some light accumulating snows…

The GFS is still too progressive with the whole setup and that impacts the thermal profile. Still, the model is beginning to see some snow…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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