Daily Archives: November 2, 2019

Time posted: 7:30 pm

Saturday Evening Update

Good evening, friends. It’s another cold night settling in across the bluegrass state as we focus on a pattern that continues to be skewed colder than normal as we roll through November, at least. Several cold fronts are on the way to the region, bringing the potential for anther taste of winter weather.

We do have a cold front crossing the state this evening, but it’s pretty moisture starved. There can still be a broken band of sprinkles ahead of it and a sprinkle or flurry behind it in the north. That’s as a northwest wind kicks in for a short time…

The next cold front rolling in here arrives Monday night and early Tuesday. This may throw a shower into northern Kentucky…

That leads to a windy and seasonally chilly Election Day across Kentucky.

That brings us to the late week system that will be pushed by another surge of arctic air. This front is likely to have a wave of low pressure along it that tries to develop into a northern Ohio Valley/northeastern US winter storm. This can bring rain and snow to Kentucky Thursday into Thursday night.

Here’s the Canadian…

The European Model has a healthy system…

Depending on the exact wind flow behind that, it could be our first Great Lakes induced snow shower and flurry maker into Friday.

Speaking of winds. Those gusty winds combine with early November arctic air to give us some nasty wind chills on the Euro…

THAT is cold!

Not to be outdone, the GFS continues to go ballistic with the cold and a storm system a few days later…

Lows behind that…

And wind chills…

Given the extreme nature of our weather of late, never say never, even if those numbers are highly unlikely this early in the season. 😉

Winter talk comes with my late night post!!

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:45 am

A Cold November Pattern

Good Saturday, everybody. It’s the first weekend of November and our weather pattern continues to skew colder than normal and this looks to continue. As a matter of fact, we have some pretty hefty shots of cold on the way through the middle of the month, at least. With the cold blasts lined up, this ups the ante on some more early season winter weather.

Let’s start with our Saturday and move it along from there. A weak cold front is dropping in today, but it’s really starved for moisture. Temps ahead of this will spike a bit into the 50s, but quickly drop as the front moves through. Winds will be gusty and there is the smallest risk for a shower along the front. There’s also a small threat for a tiny rain or snow shower getting close to northern Kentucky this evening.

Here’s regional radar to kill a little space…

The next front moves our way by Election Day, but it never quite makes it through here. That sets the stage for a late week cold shot that moves in here and may produce some rain and snow as it does so…

This is likely a pretty cold month overall and the various ensembles have been showing this well. Now, the operational models are sniffing this out. Look at this run of the GFS temp anomalies…

Goodness, that’s a lot of cold for a lot of people this early in the season.

I will have another update later today so check back. Make it a  great day and take care.

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