Daily Archives: November 4, 2019

Time posted: 7:38 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Cold fronts are on the way as our overall weather pattern threatens to head straight into winter in November. That comes as some serious cold shots take aim at the bluegrass state, with next week potentially taking us close to record numbers.

Our first front brings a few showers in here early election day, but that moves away very quickly. That leaves us with nice weather later in the day and into Wednesday.

Our Thursday into Thursday night system continues to finally show up on the American models. The NAM is picking up on this…

The European Model shows a stripe of some light snow across the far north with this system…

Regardless, this is already the 2nd time we’ve been talking about some flakes this season.

The cold air coming in is impressive. Temps drop quickly from north to south Thursday afternoon and evening and wind up in the low 20s by Friday morning…

Wind chills are likely deep into the teens Thursday night.

Saturday is a seasonally cold day with our next system zipping in here later Sunday and Monday. That’s a true arctic front that will likely have a band of light snow behind it. There may even be a little wave of low pressure along this boundary and could be followed by another winter weather maker a few days later. Here’s the European Model showing all that…

The temps coming in behind all that are absolutely frigid for this time of year with the potential for record lows. Wind chill numbers on the models are way down there…

 

This isn’t a pattern for winter weather haters as we roll through November.

Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:18 pm

Monday Midday Update

Good afternoon, folks. A few clouds are beginning to stream in ahead of our next cold front arriving on the scene late tonight into early Tuesday. This will bring a few showers to kick off Election Day, then the focus is on even colder systems working in later this week and early next week. Those have a chance to bring some winter weather into the region. Overall, this is a very wintry setup ahead.

Tonight’s front won’t have much moisture with it, but it does touch off a broken line of showers working in from the northwest. This will decrease quickly as the day wears on…

The next system is a modified arctic front sweeping in here Thursday into Thursday night. This likely brings rain for Thursday with a big north-south temp crash late in the day. That may lead to a little snow mixing in with the rain, especially across the north. That northwest wind behind the system may spit out a few flakes into early Friday.

After showing no system impacting our weather, the GFS is finally starting to see the light…

The Canadian remains unchanged for several days now, bringing a swath of accumulating snow to our north and into the northeastern part of the country…

As you can see, the model does suggest some flakes flying into central and eastern Kentucky.

The temp crash is pretty big on Thursday. Here are the numbers from the GFS…

That also gives us wind chills in the teens by Friday morning with afternoon highs only in the 30s for many.

The same GFS is slowly correcting itself toward what the European Model has been showing for a few days now with the late Sunday\Monday system. This is an arctic front moving in here and may very well have a wave of low pressure along it to bring some snow into our region. The GFS is still too progressive, but it’s getting there…

The GFS is also now seeing the potential for near record cold into next week…

Wind chills from this run are way down there…

I will have an update later today, so check back. Enjoy the rest of your Monday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:02 am

Another Busy Week Begins

Good Monday, everybody. Here’s hoping this blog post finds each of you enjoying life to the absolute fullest. We have some nice weather to kick off the first full week of November, but that won’t last very long. We have several cold fronts taking aim at our part of the world, bringing the potential for some winter weather over the next week or so.

Let’s begin with today. A mix of sun and clouds will be noted as temps head into the upper 50s to low 60s as winds increase. Those winds are ahead of a cold front dropping in here later tonight into Election Day. This will bring a few showers along for the ride, but not everyone will see drops from this…

With a few more clouds and scattered showers, temps will come down from where we are today.

Our next system rolls in here on Thursday as another front drops in from the northwest. This front has much colder air behind it and also has a wave of low pressure along it. That low likely bring us rain on Thursday and could bring rain and a little snow by Thursday night.

The models continue to focus accumulating snows just to our north. Here’s the Canadian…

The European Model is similar…

A few flurries could be noted behind that system into Friday morning as our strong northwest flow kicks in for a time.

From there, we cue up the next front. This boundary looks the part of the middle of January as it should have frigid arctic air coming in behind it. It may also have a wave of low pressure along it to give us a snow chance. The European Model continues to show all this well, but the latest run is getting quicker with the arrival time and has it in here late Sunday. Does this look like November?

That’s some wicked stuff we continue to see coming from the Euro. As always, we shall see.

I will have another update later today. Until then, have a great Monday and take care.

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