Daily Archives: November 6, 2019

Time posted: 7:43 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We have some rain rolling across Kentucky, with more to come later tonight and Thursday. That’s ahead of a big temperature crash and the potential for some snowflakes showing up before the day is finished. After that, the focus is on a better snow threat early next week.

I mentioned the showers pushing through the area, here are your tracking tools…

The rain will increase overnight into Thursday morning, with better than a half inch totals for many. Temps crash from northwest to southeast quickly during the day with a little light snow or a mix of rain and snow on the back edge of the rain. Nothing will stick, but it’s a sign of the early winter times we are in.

Frigid temps come in here Thursday night through Saturday morning.

Our attention then goes toward the arctic front moving in on Monday. This will bring a winter weather and snow threat to our region as a wave of low pressure develops along the front. Here’s the afternoon run of the European Model…

That actually has snow falling all the way into parts of the deep south,too.

The European Ensembles aren’t shy about the snow potential…

The temps behind this are crazy cold for the first part of November and could even flirt with a few records next week.

I’ll be back later tonight with your full update. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:28 pm

Updating A Busy Pattern

Good afternoon, folks. Rain is rolling into western Kentucky and this will overspread the state tonight into Thursday. The rain will be heavy at times and could even end as a period of wet snow for some. This is ahead of a big time temp drop with a true winter weather maker possible by early next week.

As mentioned, rain is already pushing into the far west. Here’s regional radar to keep you company…

Rain will be heavy at times on Thursday as temps crash hard and fast from northwest to southeast. That can lead to a small period of rain/snow mix of even light snow and flurries, especially in the north. Then we would get some flakes to come in behind the departing system Thursday night. The NAM is most aggressive…

The GFS has a smaller window of flake chances…

Temps will be frigid from Thursday night through Saturday morning. Readings will be near 20 in some areas by Friday morning with wind chills in the low and mid teens. Highs may not get out of the 30s for Friday.

There’s a small flurry chance Friday night and early Saturday as temps drop back into the 20s. Highs for Saturday reach the 40s, but winds make it feel colder.

Sunday will be milder as highs reach the 50s ahead of our arctic front. This front arrives Monday with another major temp crash and this boundary may have a wave of low pressure along it. That could enhance our chance for snow around here Monday and Tuesday.

The latest run of the GFS is on board…

The ICON is too…

That could give some areas the first snowfall of the season, but that is NOT a certainty. I’m just saying this is a pattern that can bring winter weather to town.

Temps behind this may flirt with record cold levels.

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm and have another update this evening. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:36 am

A Winter Pattern Comes Early

Good Wednesday, everyone. While today is a very nice weather day, things are about to change in a hurry as Old Man Winter shows up earlier than normal around here. We have a couple of big time cold shots heading our way and each of those could be accompanied by some flake action.

Today is a nice one as clouds increase and temps reach the low 60s in many areas. Some late day rain will show up in the west…

The rain really ramps up tonight into Thursday and could be heavy at times. Cold air quickly crashes in here from north to south Thursday into Thursday evening and may switch over to a period of rain/snow mix or a brief period of light snow and flurries.

The NAM is seeing this better…

So does the GFS…

That’s some very cold air crashing in here. Lows have a shot at the upper teens in a few spots by Friday morning…

Wind chills are way down into the low and middle teens by Friday morning…

Highs on Friday likely stay in the 30s for many areas, setting the stage for another frigid night. Saturday looks seasonally cold with a small chance for a morning snow flurry.

Our arctic front then drops our way late Sunday into Monday. Temps ahead of this spike into the 50s on Sunday then come tumbling down on Monday as the front blows in. This front may have a wave of low pressure develop along it and the models are seeing more and more of this potential, including the GFS…

The Canadian…

ICON

So our idea from a week ago of a wave of low pressure along an arctic front has merit, but it still isn’t a lock. That could bring the first light snowfall of the season to parts of our region. Again, it’s not a lock, but it’s interesting to track.

Temps behind that arctic front could challenge record lows by Tuesday and Wednesday mornings.

There could be a potent southern stream storm system trying to follow all this up.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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