Daily Archives: November 15, 2019

Time posted: 7:34 pm

Kicking Off The Weekend

Good evening, folks and welcome to the weekend. Things are starting out on a colder than normal note and this is a pattern that shows no signs of ending. The next week won’t be as cold as last week, but things continue to stay below normal, with growing signs Thanksgiving week could turn very cold.

The system coming in here early next week continues to look fairly weak, but can produce a rain or snow shower. This is just getting into the range of the NAM and it shows what I’m talking about Monday into Monday evening…

Again, this system doesn’t look like a big deal, but could be a precursor to a bigger event by the end of next week…

I mentioned how Thanksgiving week is looking colder and colder. The GFS Ensembles show one heck of a deep trough through the end of the month…

The temp anomalies have a crazy cold look considering how much smoothing goes into the maps from this far out…

The analogs coming from the computers are raising eyebrows as we head into December. I’ll show you those with my overnight update.

Enjoy the evening and take care.


Time posted: 12:28 pm

Friday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. We have quite the temperature spread taking shape across Kentucky today. Temps in the west and north are pretty cold, while the south and southeast are just chilly. This contrast likely carries us into the start of the weekend, but it’s next week that we are focusing on.

The east coast storm system won’t influence our weather, but a series of systems diving in behind it will. That could bring a few light rain or rain/snow showers in here early next week…

The setup I’m more interested in is from late next week through early Thanksgiving week. The pattern is primed for a couple of big storm systems that can produce winter weather. The overall pattern argues for it, but the individual models can’t handle such a busy pattern.



I’ll see y’all for another update this evening. Until then, have a great day and take care.


Time posted: 2:22 am

The Action Picks Up Next Week

Good Friday, everyone. We are ending one of the coldest November weeks you will ever find around here, complete with record snows and record cold temps. As we head into the weekend, things are looking much more tranquil. But, and there’s always a but in weather, things look to change next week.

Temps are seasonally chilly out there today and into Saturday. There’s likely to be quite the temp gradient setting up from north to south across the state, with the south milder. The Hi Res NAM shows what I’m talking about. Here’s the temp animation from 7am Saturday through 11pm Saturday…

As mentioned, the pattern next week continues to have an active look to it. The early week storm along the east coast won’t directly impact our weather, but it has a couple of very weak systems diving in behind it. A touch of rain or snow shower action will be possible out of that…

In the overall scheme of that, it’s not a big deal at all.

Another system will then work in here for the end of next week and that one could have more to work with…



I will have updates late today, so check back. Have a great Friday and take care.