Daily Archives: November 21, 2019

Time posted: 12:14 pm

Thursday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Showers are rolling across the region today, kicking off a soggy setup for the next few days. This action comes in waves and may end as a brief period of winter weather later Saturday and Saturday night.

As you know, my time is limited today because of our winter weather forecast show on WKYT. Again, stalk my twitter feed this afternoon and good things may come your way. 🙂

Back to the showers. They’re rolling from west to east…

Heavy rain develops overnight and early Friday, but may take a little break late in the day into the evening. Temps will be chilly during this time.

The next low should roll right on top of eastern Kentucky late Friday night into Saturday. That will have a healthy temp gradient from one side of it to the other. Rain will be noted and winds will gust up. As the low goes by and the upper low spins over us, temps drop and that could lead to a period of mixed precipitation or a few flakes. Again, I don’t expect anything to really come from this other than maybe ‘hey, I see some snow’ .

For some strange reason the NAM lost this low and that’s weird cause it is usually too far west and too strong with systems like this. The GFS still has it…

The ICON has it too…

The system to kick off Thanksgiving week continues to trend farther east on the GFS…

I will try to update again today, but no promises. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:56 am

Rain and A Possible Touch Of Winter Ahead

Good Thursday, everyone. This active pattern I’ve been harping about for a while is about to finally kick into high gear with a few systems rolling in over the next few days. This means quite a bit of rain and wind, and the potential for a little winter weather for the weekend.

Before I get to all that, today is when the Winter Weather Forecast comes out on WKYT-TV this evening at 6. We will also have a live half hour show on the CW at 6:30. It’s always a fun time of year for winter weather lovers and haters alike, so make sure to tun in. And you guys may also want to stalk my twitter feed later today because something may drop before then.

Back to the weather of the now. We have a few showers working in here as winds gust up. Those winds may reach 30-40mph at times through this evening. Here are your radars to track today’s scattered showers in from the west…

A wave of heavier rain arrives tonight into early Friday as our front edges in from the northwest. That front may press just far enough south in the afternoon and evening to give us many dry hours. Temps will come way down from today, though.

Another low then works across southern and eastern Kentucky from late Friday night into Saturday. That low will bring rain and a big temperature gradient with it. Temps may hit 60 south and east of the track and stay in the upper 30s just north and west of the low. As that works east, we continue to see the possibility of some wraparound light snow and snow showers. The best chance goes from late Saturday evening into Sunday morning.

The NAM is giving us a nice look at this…

The GFS has been absolutely all over the place and I pity the forecasters who can’t use any other model. The latest run is finally seeing the chance for some flakes, but not until late night…

The Euro is in the ballpark…

At the moment, any flake action doesn’t look like a big deal, but it’s something fun for us to track.

The setup for early Thanksgiving week continues to trend toward the weaker and farther east solution the Euro has been offering up. That could bring rain and gusty winds in here for Tuesday, with the chance for another touch of winter on the backside of the departing storm system…

The GFS is slowly losing the plains bomb storm and is sliding east…

I will have updates as I can later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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