Daily Archives: November 22, 2019

Time posted: 8:09 pm

Friday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We’re rolling into the weekend with low pressure ready to roll across the state. This will bring more rain and the potential for a few flakes by the time we hit Saturday night. Beyond that, its a complicated mess for Thanksgiving week with arctic cold waiting on us to start December.

One more time, in case you guys missed the winter forecast, the Kentucky Weather Podcast has the highlights and I talk about the whys behind the outlook. Give it a listen…

Rain rolls back in tonight and continues into Saturday as low pressure works across eastern Kentucky. Rain may be heavy at times with gusty winds to boot. Temps could reach 60 in the southeast and be in the upper 30s in parts of the north and west. As that cold air crashes in from the northwest, a few flakes or snow showers sneak in here. The best chance is across central and eastern Kentucky.

The NAM continues to show this…

The EURO also sees this the potential…

The next system rolling in early next week will take a track to our west and bring showers and the chance for a few storms in here late Tuesday and Wednesday. The Euro seems to have settled on this scenario…

That model is also spitting out quite a bit of wind…

The Euro is also bringing another big system next weekend and starts it out with winter weather…

The GFS continues to see the possibility of some late Wednesday and early Thanksgiving showers…

The GFS is much faster with next weekend’s storm and gives us a good look at the arctic air and snow chances I’m expecting in early December..

Here is your regional radar to track the increase in rain from the southwest later this evening…

Have a good one and take care.

3 Comments

Time posted: 1:04 pm

Watching Your Weekend

Good afternoon, everyone. We have some dreary weather across the region and this rolls on into the weekend. Low pressure will roll across the state on Saturday, bringing more rain and the potential for a little bit of winter weather as it goes by.

In case you guys missed the winter forecast, the Kentucky Weather Podcast has the highlights and I talk about the whys behind the outlook. Give it a listen…

Rain will increase late tonight and Saturday and could be heavy at times. Winds will be gusty as temps drop behind the low pressure. There’s a decent chance for some snowflakes to show up behind the low. A few snow showers and flurries continue to show up best on the NAM fam…

The NAM Fam is even trying to put down a little slush…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

That’s a borderline setup, but one worth watching.

The early Thanksgiving system continues to be a bit of an issue, but there’s a new twist. A second system may throw rain in here into Wednesday night and Thanksgiving….

I’ll have another update this evening. Until then, I leave you with your regional radar to track the decrease in the afternoon action…

Make it a good one and take care.

2 Comments

Time posted: 2:05 am

Waves Of Rain and A Touch Of Weekend Winter

Good Friday, everyone. Heavy rain is working across Kentucky early today with more rounds on the way tonight into Saturday. That’s when we also run the risk for a little winter weather to show up on the backside of low pressure working across the state.

In case you guys missed the winter forecast, the Kentucky Weather Podcast has the highlights and I talk about the whys behind the outlook. Give it a listen…

Let me begin with today and roll forward. Heavy rain is falling early today, especially across the southern half of the state. The rain will slow down from north to south as chilly air moves in, keeping us mainly dry from later this afternoon into the evening.

Here’s regional radar to be your early Friday BFF…

After a break into tonight, rain quickly returns early Saturday and continues through the day. That’s when low pressure works in from the southwest and rolls across the eastern half of Kentucky. Once the low passes to our northeast late Saturday, colder air sweeps in and could change the rain to some light snow or snow showers into early Sunday.

After a small hiccup in seeing this system, the NAM is back and showing the flake chances…

With that low, you’re going to see a big temp swing across the region. Check this out…

Gusty winds will add to the chill…

A seasonal chill will be in the air for Sunday as skies become partly cloudy.

As expected, the storm system for early Thanksgiving week continues to give the models fits. There continues to be a pattern with more energy than the models can handle. That’s a theme for the next week and change before arctic air takes control of the country once again.

The GFS went from a powerhouse plains storm to the weakest storm of all rolling into the Great Lakes…

The European and Canadian Models are similar with a stronger looking system than what they were showing with prior runs…

The systems coming in behind that are also wearing the models out and this will be the case until we get arctic air to flex some muscle. The signal continues to be strong with this one…

December has a chance to be our coldest and snowiest since 2010.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

14 Comments