Daily Archives: November 26, 2019

Time posted: 7:44 pm

Tuesday Evening Tracking

Good evening, folks. High winds and the potential for strong storms are taking center stage across the region through tonight and early Wednesday. This is the first of 2 big storm systems to impact our weather over the long Thanksgiving travel period.

The threat for severe weather is there across western Kentucky. Here’s the latest from the Storm Prediction Center…

Wind gusts of 50mph or greater will be possible tonight and Wednesday morning and that’s with or without thunderstorms. Your tracking toys have you all set to do some tracking. Be sure to check out the interactive radar to track this big storm. You can even pull up live feeds from storm chasers from the severe side and winter side of the storm…

The rain and storms end quickly from west to east early on Wednesday, but gusty winds remain. Temps will drop through the 40s in the afternoon. It’s interesting to note the HI Res NAM tries to bring a few flakes into northern and northeastern Kentucky behind the low Wednesday night…

That system bubbling up behind that in the plains may throw a shower at us late Thanksgiving, especially in the west.

A shower or two will be noted on Friday as seasonal temps continue.

The next system rolls in with heavy rain, some storms and high winds for Saturday. A dry slot looks to show up early Sunday before rain and snow dives in here from the northwest in the afternoon and evening. The flow looks to produce fairly widespread snow showers and a few squalls Sunday night and Monday. That could drop some light accumulations for parts of central and eastern Kentucky.

The poor GFS continues to try to figure it out, but it just cannot help the progressive bias. Adjust everything west, deepen the trough and drop the temps some and you are set. Notice the GFS is also picking up on the system behind this again…

Every single run of the model is vastly different from the last. The Euro is basically in the same camp, but I’m cutting the models some slack because we have talked about this being the case for a while. Way too much going on for them to handle, folks.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:19 pm

Tracking Strong Storms and High Winds

Good afternoon, everyone. Things are about to get very active this afternoon and evening as a potent storm system passes to our west and north. This means the possibility of strong to severe storms in the west and high winds across the entire region.

The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded parts of western Kentucky into a better risk for severe storms…

The low-end threat for severe storms may make it all the way into areas of central Kentucky into the wee hours of Wednesday morning. Damaging winds will be the main player.

With or without thunderstorms,  high winds are likely to cause issues into early Wednesday. Gusts of 50mph or greater will be possible during this time.

Here are your tracking tools…

The rain ends quickly from west to east as winds stay gusty through the day. Temps drop from the 60s in the mornings to the 40s in the afternoon.

The trend continues to be colder for Thanksgiving Day into Black Friday…

There’s the chance for a late shower on Thanksgiving and with a few more showers on Black Friday.

The next storm continues to target us over the weekend with heavy rain, high winds and strong storms are likely for Saturday as another major storm develops. There is a lot of blocking going on and this will send that storm more east across the Ohio Valley and lower Lakes. That will then redevelop along the east coast and ride up the coast. That scenario brings rain to snow in here late Sunday as temps crash. Northwest winds will bring widespread light snow and snow showers Sunday night into Monday, especially across central and eastern Kentucky.

The Canadian continues to be the model of choice…

The bias of the GFS continues to render the model all but useless from this time frame. It is just WAY too progressive with everything it shows…

Slow that thing down, deepen the trough, bring in colder air behind the storm andshift everything west by a few hundred miles. Other than that… The GFS is spot on. 😉

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm and with another KWC update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:59 am

High Winds and Storms On The Weather Menu

Good Tuesday, everyone. The first in a series of storm systems is set to impact our weather as we kick off this long Thanksgiving holiday period. Everything from high winds, strong storms, mild temps, cold temps and some snow will be possible through Sunday.

Here’s your breakdown of the current system moving in here:

  • Gusty winds are going to be a problem. Winds may reach 50mph or greater at times tonight and early Wednesday. Batten down the hatches, Captain!
  • Showers and thunderstorms increase from west to east today through early Wednesday. A few strong storms are even possible across western Kentucky.
  • The rain ends from west to east very quickly early Wednesday as the sun makes an appearance. Temps go from the 60s in the morning to the 40s in the afternoon.

The NAM continues to show our high wind potential…

The Storm Prediction Center has far western Kentucky in the low-end risk area for severe storms…

Here are your radars to help you track the early day action from the west…

Thanksgiving itself looks to feature a seasonal chill with temps in the 40s and a mostly cloudy sky. Some late showers will try to show up and continue into Black Friday, but this isn’t even close to washout stuff.

The weekend storm continues to be a potent one and will give us the potential for strong storms on Saturday with some snow showing up late Sunday into Monday.

The Canadian Model continues to be the most consistent…

The ICON is almost spot on…

The GFS and EURO keep showing differences from run to run, but aren’t too far from the above models.

The Canadian also keeps seeing the system that tries to follow all that up later next week…

I will hook you up with updates later today, so check back. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

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