Daily Archives: December 1, 2019

Time posted: 7:36 pm

Rain and Snow Moving In

Good evening, folks. Rain and snow continue to press in from the northwest as our upper level disturbance works in here. Temps are crashing and winds are gusting, making for a pretty nasty travel evening to wrap up the Thanksgiving weekend. Later tonight, the rain changes to wet snow with snow showers following that up on Monday.

Rain and some snow will change to light snow late tonight and early Monday. This is one of those setups where it snows well above freezing. Accumulations are pretty light and mainly confined to elevated and grassy surfaces. There will be streaks of snow accumulations that can make it to an inch or two, but there will also be areas where it doesn’t snow hard enough to cover much at all.

That’s why I’ve had the broad brush out…

A Winter Weather Advisory has been issues for much of southeastern Kentucky and into parts of central Kentucky. A Winter Storm Warning is out for the high ground of Letcher and Harlan Counties…

Look, areas inside and outside of that Advisory will have light accumulations. Trying to differentiate it is a tough task, but the odds are about the same across all of central and eastern Kentucky so don’t fret about not being inside the Advisory. I’m not so sure about what Warning, though.

Flurries and snow showers continue into Monday night as gusty northwest winds continue to crank. Those winds will keep us pretty darn cold.

Another system then zips through the Ohio Valley late Tuesday and Wednesday. That could spit out a few rain and snow showers in the north and east.

The Friday system continues to look like a cold rain maker, but it’s getting closer to a touch of winter showing up around here…

That’s a cold look behind that for late Friday into Saturday.

Let’s go ahead and highlight early next week as one having potential. A modified arctic front shows up on Monday and has a lot of rain ahead of it. This front is likely to slow down with waves of low pressure along it, giving us the potential for a winter event.

Here’s how the Euro sees it…

The GFS is picking up on it, too…

I’ll have a full update later tonight.

I leave you with your Sunday evening tracking toys…

Lexington


Georgetown

Frankfort

Florence

No image available.

Covington area

No image available.

Louisville

No image available.

No image available.

E-town

Bowling Green

Paducah

Fort Campbell

Mountain Parkway near Slade

Pine Mountain

Morehead

Winchester

Maysville

London

Mt. Vernon

Enjoy the evening and take care.

7 Comments

Time posted: 12:42 pm

Light Snow Tonight and Monday

Good afternoon, everyone. Gusty winds are cranking to near 40mph at times as much colder air sweeps in from the northwest. This comes as an upper level system works in, bringing rain and some snow this evening with light snow overnight into Monday.

Light accumulations are likely and my thoughts have not changed…

That switch to snow won’t be uniform, but should happen late tonight into early Monday. This will lead to a messy morning commute as that will be the height of the wet snow. Gusty winds will add a plaster effect to the accumulating flakes.

This isn’t a lot of snow by any means with streaks of accumulations that can top an inch or two. Outside of those streaks, coatings will show up.

I would expect Winter Weather Advisories to be issued at some point today…

A quick check of the forecast models finds them singing the same tune…

Hi Res NAM

NAM

GFS

Short Range Canadian

Canadian

Temps will be seasonally cold during this event. Watch how consistent the numbers are through Tuesday…

Wind chills are pretty darn cold…

I will have another update or two later today. Until then, here are your radars to track the action in from the northwest…

Make it a good one and take care.

11 Comments

Time posted: 2:08 am

Heavy Rain To A Light Snow Maker

Good Sunday, everybody. As the heavy rain ends early today, minor flooding issues continue into the first part of our day. Once into the evening, it’s all about a light snow maker working into the bluegrass state. This will likely bring light accumulations to many areas, possibly causing some travel issues.

Our first day of December begins with the rain moving out of the east fairly quickly. There are still some flood warnings across the state…

Here are your radars to wave bye to the action as it slides east…

Winds will continue to be gusty today as colder air sweeps in from the west and northwest. After a break in the action, rain and some snow breaks out this evening. That action should change to wet snow overnight and early Monday as our upper level system drops in. The air with this isn’t exceptionally cold, but it’s cold enough for wet snow to fly and stick. Northwest winds will keep snow showers and flurries going across central and eastern Kentucky through Monday night as Lake Michigan offers some help.

You can see all this play out on the Hi Res NAM…

This isn’t a ton of snow, but widespread coatings to 2″ look possible, with the potential for a little more in the mountains in the southeast. Here’s a rough outline of the First Call For Snowfall…

You will notice I’ve added some headlines on that so you can see the nuance of the forecast. Given this is a wet snow, we should see elevated and grassy areas doing better than anything else. There should be some streaks that do better than others.

I would expect Winter Weather Advisories to go up at some point today…

A quick check of the snow models finds them in decent agreement…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

Short Range Canadian

Canadian

GFS

Gusty winds will add to the show and give a little bit of a plastered look to whatever snow falls. Those same gusty winds will make it feel pretty cold…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.

6 Comments