Daily Archives: December 6, 2019

Time posted: 7:07 pm

Start Of The Weekend Outlook

Good evening, folks. The showers are moving away and we have better weather rolling in for the weekend. Unfortunately, the nice doesn’t last very long as a bigger system targets us early next week. That one will bring a lot of different weather, unlocking a very wintry pattern.

The showers are exiting the eastern part of the state, but I can’t rule out a touch of drizzle this evening…

The weather this weekend looks much better. Highs on Saturday range from the mid 40s north to the mid 50s south and west. That’s assuming clouds don’t hang around after a cold start to the day.

Clouds increase Sunday as southwest winds pick up ahead of our early week system. A few showers arrive by Sunday evening with the majority of the rain moving in for Monday. Temps spike to around 60 along and just ahead of this, then drop like a rock as it goes through. That’s then temps go below freezing.

A wave of low pressure will develop along this front, but the question is where will the front be when this happens? The operational models suggest this brings snow to parts of central and, especially, eastern Kentucky. Here’s the GFS…

The European Model is very similar…

Is this one of the times we watch for the infamous northwest trend in the models as we get closer? That’s certainly a possibility and one that may show itself with the overnight into Saturday model runs.

One thing is for sure… It’s frigid behind that! There’s also likely to be another major storm system to track by next weekend.

I’ll see you guys later tonight. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:40 pm

Friday Midday Update

Good afternoon, everyone. It’s a damp day across the bluegrass state as a quick hitting system rolls through the region. As this moves away, the weekend looks pretty nice as seasonal weather returns. After that, we find a winter pattern settling in.

The showers taper from west to east this afternoon, but a little bit of drizzle may carry us into the evening.

Here are your tracking toys…

The next system rolling in for early next week continues to be the main focus. An arctic front slides in here Monday night and Tuesday. This will have heavy rain and gusty winds ahead of it as temps spike to near 60. Temps then crash as the front moves through with temps dropping below freezing from west to east Monday night and early Tuesday.

That’s when a wave of low pressure develops along this front. Where is this boundary, though, when the low decides to form? That’s the determining factor on who gets in on a period of snow.

The GFS is back to being progressive, taking that band of snow across the southern and eastern parts of the state…

The Canadian Model is similar to the GFS, but it’s seeing the second arctic system bringing a little snow on Wednesday…

The Canadian continues to go for broke with bitterly cold temps…

I’ll go more in depth on this with the evening update. My time is limited at the moment. 🙂 Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:41 am

Tracking Showers and Watching Next Week

Good Friday, everyone. The blog continues to experience some difficulties with posts showing up on the main page. They are going through via a direct twitter link, but that’s about it. I hope to have this issue resolved, but you can kindly pass the link along to others who may not do twitter. 🙂

We have a chilly shower maker pushing through today. It’s not a lot of rain by any means and this will be out of here by evening.

Here are your tracking toys…

The weather for the weekend continues to look pretty good as we wait for the next system early next week. Here are some things to watch for:

  • Rain develops Sunday night and continues through Monday. Locally heavy rains are a good bet.
  • Temps ahead of our arctic front can spike close to 60 degrees on Monday, then come crashing down from west to east Monday night into Tuesday. Many areas likely fall below freezing by Tuesday afternoon.
  • As the arctic front moves through, we will need to watch for a wave of low pressure to develop along it. If this happens, a band of accumulating snow will be possible.
  • Once this moves away early Wednesday, watch for a sneaky system from the northwest. This could deliver some light snows in the arctic air.
  • That arctic air may keep highs in the 20s for both Wednesday and Thursday. Lows can reach deep into the teens with wind chills even colder.

The GFS continues to grow more adamant about the wave of low pressure idea…

The GFS Ensembles have really been touting this potential for several runs and the latest keeps the trend going…

The Canadian Model is starting to show this possibility, too…

The Canadian then sees that possible second system on Wednesday…

The European Model is usually wound up with a big storm in this type of a setup, but it’s pretty progressive without the wave on the front…

No matter which model is right, if any, that’s some big time cold coming behind that. This cold ain’t fooling around on the GFS Ensembles into the lead up to Christmas…

Throw in an active southern storm stream and things may get interesting.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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