Daily Archives: December 13, 2019

Time posted: 7:39 pm

Friday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. It’s a VERY ugly evening across the bluegrass state as rounds of rain roll through here. This system blows through by Saturday afternoon as we then focus on the Sunday/Monday system. That one continues to trend flatter, bringing all modes of precipitation to the state.

Right out of the gate, let’s track our ugly evening…

As this system wraps up to our east early Saturday, a few snowflakes may mix in across the north. Things improve a bit by the afternoon, but I can’t rule out a rain or snow shower later in the evening.

The Sunday-Monday system continues to trend flatter on the GFS, bringing it more in line with what the European Model has been showing from day one.

This would bring snow, a wintry mix and rain from west to east across the state Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. As the low tracks on top of Kentucky and into West Virginia on Monday, rain should be the primary player, but we need to watch for a farther south track of the low. As is, we may have a 30 degree temp difference from north to south across the state. As that low goes by, more flakes should fly late Monday night into Tuesday morning.

Here’s the Euro…

The Euro snow map continues to target the northern half of the state…

The late afternoon run of the GFS is finally buying into what the GFS has been selling for a while…

The snowfall on the GFS continues to edge farther south into northern Kentucky…

There’s a second front that dives in here Tuesday night and delivers a few flurries or snow snow showers. This unleashes some very cold air for Wednesday. Look at the numbers…

I will have the new model runs on WKYT-TV at 11 and on KWC later tonight. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:23 pm

Friday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. It’s a dreary day across the Commonwealth as rains increase to kick off the weekend. It’s a weekend that will feature two more systems through early next week. Those can bring plenty of action our way as we get into a setup that brings a mixed bag of precipitation for some.

Let;s begin with what’s going on today. Rain will increase across central and eastern Kentucky and could become heavy at times this evening. Here are your radars…

As this low wraps up to our east, it will bring colder air in behind it later tonight and early Saturday. That may result in a period of rain and some snow. Later Saturday we will find another disturbance that can kick off a few rain and snow showers.

Our next system then rolls our way by Sunday afternoon and evening. This pushes a swath of precipitation from west to east. Farther south, this is mainly rain. Along and north of the Interstate 64 corridor, snow and a wintry mix pushes through.

Here’s how the hi res NAM sees all this…

The European Model continues to have the greatest concentration of snow and winter weather late Sunday before rain takes over as low pressure works across Kentucky on Monday…

That’s from  the 6z run of the Euro and only goes through Monday evening.

The NAM goes through the same time period but shows a switch back to snow by Monday evening…

The GFS is similar in taking the low across Kentucky with a swath of snow and winter weather across the north on Sunday, then a lot of rain, then cold and a few snow showers…

That run of the GFS cranks out a ton of rain…

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4 and with another KWC update later this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:58 am

Breaking Down The Weekend Action

Good Friday, folks. We’ve made it to the end of the week and our weather pattern is getting a little active. We have three different systems working into the region between now and Monday. These will bring quite the spread in weather with all modes of precipitation possible at one time or another across the region.

A touch of freezing rain is possible early this morning across the colder valleys of eastern Kentucky. It doesn’t take much of a glaze to cause slick travel, so keep that in mind this morning.

Temps will rise as the day wears on with showers giving way to steady rains across central and eastern Kentucky later this afternoon into the evening. That will continue into tonight as low pressure wraps up just to our east. There’s the chance for a period of wet snow to develop across areas of central and eastern Kentucky by early Saturday. The NAM keeps seeing a little something…

That action slowly clears the region, but a few rain or snow showers may continue to show up through Saturday evening.

The next system finds the GFS coming south with this system and becoming weaker. This run certainly makes more sense…

The Euro is similar to prior runs, but is just a touch stronger with the low…

That’s like a function of the model holding more energy back. This should trend weaker and farther south again.

The air behind this is showing up colder and colder, especially on the GFS. Check out the lows by Wednesday…

Wind chills at the same time…

We will see how all this plays out, but we are still likely to see a system with all modes of precipitation Sunday into Monday. The best threat for accumulating snow appears to be across the northern half of the state, particularly along and north of the Interstate 64 corridor.

I will have updates later today. For now, I have you set with some early day weather trackers…

Pine Mountain

Mt. Vernon

Corbin

Morehead

Mountain Parkway near Slade

 

WYMT-TV Hazard

WYMT – Stone Crest Golf Course Prestonsburg

Enjoy your day and take care.

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