Daily Archives: December 19, 2019

Time posted: 7:51 pm

A Few Evening Thoughts

Good evening, folks. Our boring weather pattern looks to roll on for the next few days as we watch a southern system that COULD impact parts of the state. Things do try to change around a little bit late next week, but it continues to look awfully mild into Christmas week.

A little bit of cloud cover moves in on Friday with temps at or above normal for late day highs.

By the time we get into the weekend, a slow-moving storm system will be working across the deep south. There is still a chance for some of the showers with that to get into southern and southeastern Kentucky. The NAM keeps seeing this potential better than other models…

As that gets out of the way, temps in the 50s look common for the days around Christmas and on Christmas Day. That deserves a bah humbug!!!

The models are trying to knock that down a bit late next week. The Euro is seeing something similar to the Canadian…

Looking farther down the road, we find the pattern flipping by the time we end the year and begin 2020. You can see this with the European Ensembles…

Other than that… I got nothing, snow lovers. 🙁

Have a great evening and take care.


Time posted: 12:30 pm

Thursday Afternoon Thoughts

Good afternoon, everyone. It’s a rather boring pattern ahead as things turn much milder across much of the country, just in time for Christmas. There is a southern storm system for us to keep a close eye on, and I’m also watching the end of next week for some changes to show up.

Let’s talk about the only thing we have to track between now and Christmas and that’s our southern storm system. This is a big storm for the south, but it may get close enough to throw a little rain into southern and eastern Kentucky by Sunday. The NAM continues to show this…

The Canadian Model is similar…

The GFS is one model showing this not even getting close to Kentucky…

That doesn’t even bring rain into Tennessee. NOAA should put this poor model out of its misery and pull the plug. 🙂

It’s interesting to note how the Canadian is knocking the temps down very quickly right after Christmas…

That’s a trend to watch in the coming days.

Make it a great day and take care.


Time posted: 2:11 am

Watching A Southern System

Good Thursday, folks. It’s another cold day across the Commonwealth of Kentucky, but we have a milding trend on the way. This will boost temps as we roll into the weekend and into Christmas week. At the same time, we are watching a big southern storm system that has a shot at bringing some rain our way.

Let’s start with today and roll forward. Temps this morning are frigid with teens showing up for many and a wind chill that can reach the high singles at times. Partly sunny skies this afternoon will boost your temps from the middle 30s to mid 40s depending on where you live

Friday sees readings making a run at 50 degrees for many with a mix of sun and clouds showing up.

This is when we start watching our southern storm system in what is a highly anomalous pattern. A big cutoff low is working from west to east across the deep south this weekend, but the models looked suspect with how they were handling this and I pointed that out. Now, we see those models edging this whole system farther north, potentially bringing some rain into Kentucky.

The NAM only goes through Sunday morning at 7am, but shows rain coming in…

That’s similar to the Canadian…

And the Euro…

You know it’s boring when I’m focusing on the potential for a little rain impacting the southeastern part of the state. 🙁

Still, we carry on and I will have your normal updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.