Daily Archives: December 21, 2019

Time posted: 8:59 pm

A Quick Update

Good evening, everyone. Your friendly weatherdude has been on the road all day being a proud dance dad, so this post is coming way late. But, since I’m a man of my word (mostly :)), I wanted to get a quick update out to you guys.

Let’s begin with the rain potential across the southeast late Sunday and Monday. The Euro continues to give us the best odds of rain making it north of the Tennessee border…

Most of the region will be dry, but we will watch southern and southeastern Kentucky for a few drops showing up. Otherwise, this is a fairly cloudy and mild stretch of weather through Christmas Day and week.

The overall pattern changes quickly next weekend into the start of 2020. The Ensembles show what I’m yapping about…

Euro Ensembles

GFS Ensembles

I will go more in depth on that with my next update later tonight… errr.. in a few hours. 🙂

Have a good one and take care.


Time posted: 1:55 am

Santa Ain’t Happy With The Forecast

Good Saturday, everyone. I just got word the big man from the North Pole isn’t a happy camper with the forecast and is threatening to leave coal in my stocking. Lucky for me, this ain’t my first rodeo in being on the naughty list. 🙂

It’s a mild forecast this weekend through most of Christmas week. There’s not much more you can say about that. The one and only thing I’ve been tracking is our southern storm system. This will throw clouds into Kentucky and may bring a few showers into southern and southeastern Kentucky. Beyond that, we have a much different pattern to track by the time the year ends.

Our southern system is a west-east mover, bringing flooding rains and high winds to the southeastern part of the country. The northern edge of this rain shield may throw a shower into far western Kentucky early Sunday, then bring a few showers into southern and southeastern Kentucky late Sunday into early Monday.

The models keep going back and forth on which one brings the best rain chance into the state. This time it’s the European Model…

The pattern continues to run mild as that system pulls on out of town. Temps through the end of next week look pretty ugly for this time of year.

That could change in a hurry next weekend into the close of the year, with a cold and snowy pattern by week one of 2020. The Ensembles have been leading the way with this for a while and now we find the operational models joining in the mix.

Here’s the GFS for next weekend into the closing days of the year…

The Canadian at the same time…

The GFS for the first few days of 2020 is seeing the big trough from the Ensembles…

So, after a mild Christmas week, this pattern looks ready to rock to kick off the new year.

I won’t be able to post again until this evening, so there will be no midday update. Make it a good one and take care.