Daily Archives: December 29, 2019

Time posted: 7:25 pm

Flood Threat Increasing

Good evening, gang. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the current flood threat and to look ahead to where the pattern is going for the week ahead and beyond.

Let’s talk flooding. Many areas have already picked up 1″-2″ and another 1″-2″ will be possible through the wee hours of Monday morning. Obviously, this increases our flood potential and that’s especially true as thunderstorms get into the mix.

Our Watch continues…

Expect to see some warnings go up at some point…

The potential for a few strong or severe storms is also there, especially across southern parts of the state…

The damaging wind threat stays as the top dog. Winds outside of storms will increase tonight and continue into Monday as colder air wraps in. We should also get in on a dry slot of air, but watch for a few showers to develop later in the day.

Several models continue to show some light snow and snow showers wrapping around into the region Monday night through New Year’s Eve. The GFS Ensembles and Canadian models have had this for several days and now the NAM is showing the possibility…

After a break in the action for New Year’s Day, another heavy rain maker looks to target the region for Thursday and Friday. There’s also a developing trend to end some of that as a touch of snow by Saturday…

A cold blast of air follows that by Sunday and could bring some snow showers and flurries…

The setup for the following week is the first one to really get my interest. Cold air isn’t going to be a problem and we look to have a lot of energy sliding on the southern edge of it. The Euro is in a ‘to phase or not to phase’ mood. The last run was close to a phase, but is missing the connection…

The prior run ad a fully phased storm…

Winter weather lovers finally have some action to track!

Here are your Sunday evening tracking toys…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Make it a good one and take care.

10 Comments

Time posted: 12:38 pm

Tracking Thunder and Possible Flooding

Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms working through the region. Our flood threat continues to be the primary player, but a few strong storms may sneak into our southern counties late today.

The Flood Watch was expanded to include areas of eastern and northeastern Kentucky through tonight…

The new Rainfall forecast from the GFS continues to edge the heavier rains a bit farther east…

That matches up very well with the rainfall forecast I put out yesterday…

Local flash flooding issues may develop, but the general flooding threat continues to be the thing to watch for. That’s especially true late this afternoon into this evening as the storms rumble through.

Speaking of storms, the low-end risk for severe weather continues across areas of southern and southeastern Kentucky…

Damaging winds will be the main player with any storm that goes up.

If we get any warnings today, those will show up here…

I will have additional updates as needed today. Your Sunday afternoon tracking toys are here to keep you company…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Enjoy your Sunday and take care.

12 Comments

Time posted: 2:20 am

Tracking The Flood Threat

Good Sunday, everyone. Waves of heavy rain and thunderstorms are rolling across the region, bringing the potential for high water issues. A few of the storms could be strong, with a low-end threat for a severe storm or two across our southern counties.

This is a setup that’s been well advertised here for roughly a week now. The number one threat continues to be flooding as rainfall of 1″-3″ will be likely for many. Locally higher amounts will show up and those are the areas most at risk for flash flooding. The main risk is from general flooding conditions to develop late today or into the evening. That’s when the heaviest rains show up.

A Flood Watch and Flash Flood Watch continues for much of the state…

In addition to the high water threat, there’s the chance for a few strong or severe storms, especially in the south. Here’s the current Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

We will see what, if anything, comes of that severe threat. High winds and hail would be the primary players if they do develop.

Behind this comes a colder and drier wind for Monday, but a few flurries and snow showers may sneak in by New Year’s Eve, especially in the north. This will be followed up by another flood threat Thursday and Friday as our pattern goes to winter after that. Could our first winter storm threat be lurking early the following week?

I will have updates later today. As always, I have you all set with your heavy rain and storm tracking toys…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great Sunday and take care.

6 Comments