Daily Archives: January 4, 2020

Time posted: 4:21 pm

Saturday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, folks. It’s a windy and cold day in the bluegrass state with a little bit of everything falling from the sky. As we look ahead, we find this active pattern threatening to turn hyper-active with the potential for major rains and more flooding issues.

Let’s start with the mixed precipitation we have into the evening. Rain, sleet and snow will transition to mainly snow. I can’t rule out a quick, light accumulation on elevated surfaces, with the mountains of southeastern Kentucky likely turning white.

Here’s regional radar…

After a nice Sunday, clouds will quickly increase on Monday with light rain, snow and a mixed bag coming in Monday night and Tuesday…

That’s a quick hitter with some flakes flying behind it into Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.

From there, it’s game on toward a full blown heavy rain producing pattern. For days now, I’ve been showing you the deep trough in the western US and a ridge off the southeast coast and how this puts us in a wet setup. A strong southwest flow will be setting up late next week into next weekend. Waves of heavy rain and strong thunderstorms will be possible across the entire region.

The rainfall forecasts on the computer models are very concerning. The European Model…

The GFS

Canadian

You can see how they differ on placement with the highest totals, but all three models have 7″ or more of rain showing up through next weekend.

Nothing good comes from this type of a setup.

Here are your snowflake tracking cams for the rest of the day…

Covington area

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_75_1908.jpg

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_471_0045.jpg

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_471_0006.jpg

Florence

No image available.

Maysville

Louisville

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_05_71_0116.jpg

No image available.

No image available.

Lexington


Georgetown

Frankfort

Richmond

Winchester

Mountain Parkway near Slade

Pine Mountain

Morehead

Mt. Vernon

Corbin

Make it a good one and take care.

16 Comments

Time posted: 2:26 am

A Small Taste Of Winter Today

Good Saturday, folks. It’s another nasty day across the Commonwealth, but it’s not just rain we are tracking. A little taste of winter weather is blowing in today as the rain ends as a period of snow. This won’t amount to much, so let’s simma down. 🙂 Another taste of winter rolls in by Tuesday, but that’s likely to be followed up by another big time rain maker.

Low pressure is wrapping up to our northeast today, pulling down colder air behind it. This air is marginally cold enough for wet snows to fly through the evening, but we should manage to get a few decent snow bands to show up. Most of what falls will melt, however I can’t rule out some slush showing up on elevated surfaces this evening. The best chance is across the mountains of southeastern Kentucky.

Here are your Saturday radars…

Sunday’s weather looks really good and that lasts into early Monday. Another system brings rain and some snow in here Monday night into Tuesday, but I’m really not that impressed by the winter weather potential with this, at the moment.

I am overly impressed with the pattern behind this, through.  A deep trough hangs across the western part of the country as we see a big ridge off the east coast…

That should put our region into a very active setup for heavy rains and even some strong storms from late next week into the following week.

If we just look at the rainfall numbers through next weekend, we find the potential for a lot of water…

Canadian

European

That’s ugly!

I will have updates later today. Until then, I have you set to find some flakes with our weather cams…

Covington area

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_75_1908.jpg

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_471_0045.jpg

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_471_0006.jpg

Florence

No image available.

Maysville

Louisville

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_05_71_0116.jpg

No image available.

No image available.

Lexington


Georgetown

Frankfort

Richmond

Winchester

Mountain Parkway near Slade

Pine Mountain

Morehead

Mt. Vernon

Corbin

Have a great day and take care.

22 Comments