Daily Archives: January 6, 2020

Time posted: 7:41 pm

Monday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, folks. It’s a pretty wild setup we have over the next week or so and it’s kicking off with a light snow maker for some. Beyond that, the setup for late this week into the weekend is looking a little crazy with flooding rains, strong storms and high winds.

Let’s start with the light snow maker. A Winter Weather Advisory is out for a number of counties into early Tuesday…

There’s only a narrow window for some sticking snow with anywhere from a coating to 2″ showing up in a narrow corridor. The models differ on where this is…

GFS

EURO

Hi Res NAM

NAM

The setup from late this week through early next week is likely to feature a ton of rain around here. It may even produce high winds and strong storms.

I made this map a few days ago to highlight the potential…

The Hazards Outlook from the Weather Prediction Center is similar and shows the different systems and threats…

You can see the initiatl storm producing heavy rain all the way through the northeast, with the next system producing heavy rain around here early next week. You will also notice the severe threat just to our south. The SPC has areas just to our south on alert for Saturday…

I wouldn’t be surprised to see that severe risk all the way into the lower Ohio Valley Saturday into Saturday night.

High winds are likely to be a big player. Check out the highest gusts from the various models…

EURO

GFS

This is a potent storm system that may cause all kinds of issues in our region. From flooding to severe storms and high winds… We may have it. Areas of central and eastern Kentucky may also be near record highs on Saturday.

The next system will need to be watched for Monday and Tuesday.

I will have another update later tonight, so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:47 pm

Winter Weather Advisory

Good afternoon, everyone. I don’t have a lot of time, so let’s get into the heart of the issues we are facing over the next several days.

Our first system is a light snow maker for a part of the state late tonight and early Tuesday. A Winter Weather Advisory is out for several counties in central and southeastern Kentucky…

Some local 1″-2″ amounts will be possible in this region, but there will be a super sharp edge to where this falls. I will have a New Call For Snowfall on WKYT starting at 4pm.

In terms the late week and weekend rain maker, things continue to look ugly for the region. Rounds of heavy rain and a few strong storms will be noted. The exact placement of the heaviest rainfall corridor continues to bounce around a bit.

The Canadian is targeting more of western and central Kentucky…

So is the GFS…

The ICON is more widespread for the entire region…

I’ll see you on WKYT starting at 4 then again on KWC later this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:47 am

First Call For A Southeast Snowfall

Good Monday, everyone. We have a quick-hitting light snow maker getting ready to impact parts of the region. This zips in and out of town in a matter of hours and now everyone sees snow from this. The focus then shifts to major rain events and the potential for flooding later this week through early next week.

Let’s begin with the light snow potential. This mainly impacts areas of southern and southeastern Kentucky overnight into early Tuesday. Here’s the First Call For Snowfall…

That’s another really sharp cutoff on the northern and western edges of this, so go easy on me if it doesn’t work out exactly right. 🙂  A few cancellations and delays will be possible.

The setup late this week into next week continues to feature a big deep trough across the western half of the country with a mild ridge off the east coast. This pattern puts our region in a moisture rich southwesterly flow as several storm systems roll through here. The end result will be a lot of rain…

The first system throws waves of heavy rain and thunderstorms our way from late Thursday through Saturday. Flooding rains will be a good bet during this time. The forecast models are spitting out a ton of rain with this initial system…

Canadian

ICON

EURO

GFS

Again, the placement of the heaviest rains will vary from run to run, but it’s the overall theme that’s important and that’s for a lot of rain. This is also a setup that can deliver some stronger thunderstorms to our region, especially on Saturday.

Additional heavy rain makers should follow this up as we head into next week, with the next one arriving by Monday or Tuesday.

Overall, this is a very nasty looking setup for potential widespread flooding across the Ohio Valley and the Tennessee Valley.

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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