Daily Archives: January 7, 2020

Time posted: 7:41 pm

Tuesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. It’s a clear and calm night taking shape, but the forecast continues to focus on a big system for the weekend. That one is going to bring a lot of rain, wind, strong storms and the potential for record highs.

The Hazards Outlook from the Weather Prediction Center is super busy for our region…

I like how the GFS is handling this system…

It puts the heaviest rainfall in the areas we are targeting across western and central parts of the state…

We need the cold air across the western part of the country to overwhelm the pattern and change this up before we get ourselves into more high water troubles. The problem is, I’m having a tough time finding that.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 11:59 am

Looking Ahead Toward A Big System

Good afternoon, everyone. Our snow has ended across areas of southeastern Kentucky as the forecast played out pretty well. Now it’s time to focus on the big system rolling in here for later this week into the weekend. This will bring the potential for flooding, strong storms, high winds and record highs.

Here’s a quick summation of what looks to go down:

  • Scattered showers and storms develop on Thursday and this action will increase into Friday, especially across central and western Kentucky.
  • Rounds of showers and storms then work in from Friday night through Saturday night, bringing a flood and flash flood risk.
  • Several inches of rain may fall across western and central Kentucky.
  • A few strong to severe storms will be possible on Saturday.
  • High winds of greater than 50mph will be possible Saturday and Saturday night.
  • Near record high temps are possible on Saturday, especially across eastern Kentucky. That’s where temps can reach 70.
  • After a break on Sunday, another heavy rain and thunderstorm maker looks to return for Monday and Tuesday. Another system may follow that up a few days later.

Here are my initial areas of interest for the possibility of flooding…

The central and western parts of the state continue to be the main focus for flash flooding , general flooding and river flooding. The models back this up…

That could still shift around a bit, but the setup is for repeat shower and thunderstorm action, especially late Friday through Saturday. This is also when some severe thunderstorms will be possible. The SPC continues to edge the risk area farther north…

I will have the very latest on WKYT starting at 4pm and with another KWC update this evening. Have a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:43 am

Tracking Some Snow Then Wild Weather

Good Tuesday, folks. It’s a quick-hitting blast of winter hitting parts of central and eastern Kentucky this morning and that’s likely to cause a few travel issues. As conditions improve later today, we focus on wild weather for late this week and into the weekend. It’s a very stormy setup that can bring high water issues.

Let’s start with the morning snow and roll ahead. A corridor of a few inches of wet snow will be likely, but this won’t be terrible widespread. With temps at or just above freezing, this will be a wet snow that may fall hard enough to cause slick roads for a bit. A few inches of snow will be possible in this narrow band…

Here’s a look at the Winter Weather Advisory for the morning…

Here’s your regional radar to track the action…

Whatever snow falls will melt away pretty quickly this afternoon as sunny skies return and temps reach the 40s.

Wednesday is a chilly, but sunny day and you should probably soak it up because things go downhill from there. This is a setup we have been highlighting for a while now and it looks ugly through next week. Here’s a breakdown:

  • Scattered showers and storms develop on Thursday and this action will increase into Friday, especially across central and western Kentucky.
  • Rounds of showers and storms then work in from Friday night through Saturday night, bringing a flood and flash flood risk.
  • Several inches of rain may fall across western and central Kentucky.
  • A few strong to severe storms will be possible on Saturday.
  • High winds of greater than 50mph will be possible Saturday and Saturday night.
  • Near record high temps are possible on Saturday, especially across eastern Kentucky. That’s where temps can reach 70.
  • After a break on Sunday, another heavy rain and thunderstorm maker looks to return for Monday and Tuesday. Another system may follow that up a few days later.

I mentioned the winds as being a big time player. Check out the forecast gusts…

EURO

GFS

I will have updates later today, so check back. I leave you with some snow tracking cams…

Richmond

Winchester

Mountain Parkway near Slade

Pikeville

Pine Mountain

Morehead

Mt. Vernon

Corbin

Make it a good one and take care.

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