Daily Archives: January 21, 2020

Time posted: 8:02 pm

A Few Evening Thoughts

Good evening, folks. It’s a clear and cold evening across the Commonwealth and that continues through tonight. By Wednesday, we are going to be seeing a few clouds rolling in ahead of our next storm system. My thoughts remain unchanged on how this plays out.

You can go back to my earlier post to review all that.

The computer models continue to show differences from one run to the next. Here’s a little sampling…

The NAM only goes through 1am Saturday morning, but shows some wraparound snows earlier than most of the other models…

GFS Ensembles

EURO

You can see how the EURO is trending toward a little more snow by early Saturday.

Can we get a little wet snowfall? That still remains a possibility, but is not a certainty by any means.

Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:23 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Pesky snow showers and flurries are STILL going across parts of the region. This action is winding down as our temps slowly recover over the next few days. From there, we turn our attention toward a storm system moving in late this week into the coming weekend.

Let’s begin with the remaining flakes. These are putting down some hit and run light accumulations, even coating a few roads. This slowly tapers off this afternoon across the southeast…

Temps for the afternoon will range from the upper 20s to the middle 30s. Lows later tonight drop back into the upper teens and low 20s but recover nicely on Wednesday.

Clouds increase on Wednesday as we gear up for our slow-moving storm system. Those clouds will continue to thicken on Thursday with rain and a possible light mix arriving Thursday night. This will be ahead of the lead low that works right on top of us and into the Ohio Valley. As this weakens, the main low develops to our east and then works north. As that happens a slow-moving upper low spins over us.

The end result may go like this:

Thursday Night: Rain arrives from the west, but this could begin as a brief mix of wintry precipitation. That’s especially the case across the north.

Friday: Rain is likely with winds that should be rather gusty.

Friday Night: This is still mainly a rain event.

Saturday: Rain mixes with some snow with the potential for a switch to wet snow at some point.

Saturday Night\Sunday: This is our best chance for some snow as colder air comes in behind the low to our east. Any potential accumulations continue to look light, but will depend on how strong that northwest flow is.

Here are the midday model trends…

Canadian

GFS

I will have another update this evening. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:56 am

All Eyes On The Late Week System

Good Tuesday, everyone. It’s another cold day across Kentucky, but our temps are beginning to climb out of the short-lived deep freeze. Looking down the road toward the end of the week into the weekend, we find another potent storm system ready to influence our weather.

Early morning snow showers continue across parts of the region, with some light accumulations, especially in the southeast. Temps today climb into the upper 20s north to middle 30s in the south. Winds will remain fairly gusty, keeping a wind chill going. The temps by the time we get into Wednesday will be closer to normal with a few clouds rolling into the region. Those clouds are ahead of our late week/weekend system.

This looks like a double-barrelled low pressure system. One heads into Kentucky on Friday, bringing mainly rain and gusty winds. This low will weaken as the main low develops to our east. This low slowly works inland along the eastern seaboard. As this happens, it could get just cold enough for rain to change to some wet snow around here on Saturday. Some light snow or snow showers could then continue into early Sunday.

Can we get a little snow on the ground at some point? Maybe, but we are walking a tight rope.

The various computer models continue to show the normal variation from run to run, but have the same theme…

Canadian

EURO

GFS

I will have your normal updates later today. Have a good one and take care.

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