Daily Archives: February 1, 2020

Time posted: 1:49 pm

Saturday Afternoon Thoughts

Good afternoon, everyone. A few showers continue to show up across central and eastern Kentucky, but it’s full steam ahead toward a little touch of spring temps for the next few days. That kicks off a very active pattern that has a shot at also giving us a little winter weather.

Temps continue to run in the 40s for much of the area this afternoon as our system dives in from the northwest. A few showers will continue to be around into the evening hours for some…

Sunday continues to look amazing with skies becoming mostly sunny with highs approaching 60. Monday will still see temps in the 60s as we wait for our wet pattern to kick in. Several waves of low pressure work toward the region and could spit out quite a bit of rain. There’s also the chance for some winter weather later in the week as the cold air bullies its way in.

Here’s how the GFS is seeing this…

Some pretty hefty rain numbers continue to show up…

The Canadian Model keeps showing a little more of a winter threat…

The European Model…

That would be quite a bit of rain falling and my fear is, this is a pattern locking in for February. If we expand the GFS rainfall forecast out to the next two weeks, the latest run is showing this…

In the overall scheme of things, I’m not sure I have ever seen a more consistent long term pattern than the one we have been in for the past few years. It’s really uncanny when you think about it.

Enjoy the rest of your day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:48 am

Interesting Pattern Taking Shape

Good Saturday and welcome to February. Our brand new month is starting out with a little bit of dreary weather, but that changes in a hurry by Sunday. That’s when a spring surge of air moves in, kicking off what looks to be an interesting pattern into next week. Spring and winter look to collide.

Let’s begin with today and roll ahead. A few gusty showers are on the move as a system drops in from the northwest. This isn’t all day action by any means and the eastern half of the state has the best chance at seeing said showers.

Here are your tracking tools…

Temps today are generally in the 40s across central and eastern Kentucky, with the 50s in the west.

Sunday is the rare Super Bowl, Groundhog Day combo and Mother Nature isn’t going to disappoint. Skies will become mostly sunny with temps making a run at 60. Yowza!

Monday finds clouds increasing with temps likely deep into the 60s. This is ahead of a super slow-moving front that basically becomes stationary near us. This will allow waves of low pressure to develop along the boundary, bringing waves of rain with it. Heavy rainfall totals are very likely with this setup.

The question for winter weather folks is… can we get this front just a bit east to allow us to be on the cold side of a few of these lows? That’s a possibility during the second half of the week.

Here’s how the current model suite is seeing things.

The GFS has a lot of rain and a little bit of snow…

The Canadian model also has a lot of rain, but has a bigger snow system showing up…

The ICON is similar…

Here’s the EURO…

I will throw you another update later today, so check back. Have a great day one of the new month and take care.

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