Daily Archives: February 3, 2020

Time posted: 7:40 pm

Monday Evening Look Ahead

Good evening, folks. I told you guys a case of spring fever would break out early this week! Temps hit 70 or better in several areas, but we are about to go another way. We have a lot of rain on the way over the next several days as our temps come way down. As a matter of fact, there is a growing potential for winter weather later this week into the weekend.

The first wave of rain is is increasing quickly from the southwest this evening. Here are your radars to track the action…

From there, rounds of heavy rain will soak the region through Thursday. Rainfall totals of 1″-3″ will be common, but some areas may top 4″. Here’s the area most at risk for potential flooding issues…

The latest GFS shows this potential very well…

That would be enough to cause some flooding issues over the next few days, so let’s keep a close eye on water levels during this time.

There could also be a period of freezing rain across the north at some point, especially on Wednesday.

As cold air crashes in behind each low, we eventually get in on some snows by Thursday night and Friday. Light accumulations are possible. Here’s the EURO…

Another winter weather maker comes in behind that for the weekend. That one could also put down some accumulations. That system could be interesting for parts of the state.

After that goes through, expect our region to wind up in another very wet looking pattern. The average rainfall from the 21 member GFS Ensembles is way up there for the next 2 weeks…

Crazy!

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:10 pm

Heavy Rain May Cause Issues

Good afternoon, folks. It’s another warm day, but clouds are thickening ahead of a super busy pattern. A stalling front and waves of low pressure will bring rounds of heavy rain to our region. By the end of the week into the weekend, winter weather is likely to show up.

The clouds will continue to increase today as temps hit the 60s. A southwest flow will lead to rain showing up to our southwest by evening. Some of those rains will head into southwestern parts of the state…

The thoughts on this setup have not changed over the past several days. In case you forgot:

  • A slow-moving front moves into our region and puts the brakes on over the next few days.
  • The first round of rain arrives tonight and takes us into Tuesday. Some thunder is even possible.
  • Waves of low pressure will then roll along this front, bringing more rounds of rain through the rest of the week.
  • Rainfall of 1″-3″ appears likely this week with locally higher amounts showing up.
  • I’m now thinking we have the potential for flooding issues to develop. That’s going to be something to watch very closely.
  • The front will slowly edge eastward with each passing low, bringing some colder air in here. The final few lows from Wednesday-Friday may pass to our east and give us the chance for winter weather. To what extent remains to be seen.
  • A winter weather maker may follow all that up next weekend as a system takes a southern track.

Here’s the area I’m highlighting for the greatest risk for high water issues…

The forecast models are backing this up…

GFS

Canadian

ICON

As you can see, all three of those models spit out 4″+ rains across parts of Kentucky during this time.

Cold air crashes in Thursday night with a round of light snow for Friday. That could lead to some light accumulations. A second system takes a track to our south and east this weekend and could easily bring accumulating snow to parts of Kentucky…

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm then again on KWC this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:50 am

A Nasty Week Of Weather

Good Monday, everyone. Our first full week of February is starting off on a mild and mainly dry note, but that’s not indicative of how the rest of the week goes. We have rounds of rain ready to roll across the state with the potential for some winter weather before all is said and done.

Let’s begin with where we are today. Clouds will continue to thicken as our mild temps continue as highs hit the 60s. Winds will continue to be a little gusty.

Here are some thoughts on where we go from here:

  • A slow-moving front moves into our region and puts the brakes on over the next few days.
  • The first round of rain arrives tonight and takes us into Tuesday. Some thunder is even possible.
  • Waves of low pressure will then roll along this front, bringing more rounds of rain through the rest of the week.
  • Rainfall of 1″-3″ appears likely this week.
  • The front will slowly edge eastward with each passing low, bringing some colder air in here. The final few lows from Wednesday-Friday may pass to our east and give us the chance for winter weather. To what extent remains to be seen.
  • A winter weather maker may follow all that up next weekend as a system takes a southern track.

The NAM is actually showing our front making it pretty far south Tuesday into Wednesday, allowing for freezing rain and sleet…

The GFS wants no part of that and keeps the front just to our north with some winter weather late in the week…

The EURO is much more in line with the GFS than the NAM…

The EURO is also insisting on a potential snow maker coming in behind that for the weekend…

The Canadian offers a similar system…

I’ll be back for my normal updates later today. Until then, enjoy your Monday and take care.

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