Daily Archives: February 4, 2020

Time posted: 7:47 pm

Flood Watch Update

Good evening, folks. Heavy rain continues to pound down on many areas of the state as a slow-moving front drops in from the north. That’s dropping temps in a hurry, but additional waves of low pressure will develop and roll along the front. That will bring more heavy rain and the potential for additional flooding.

Beyond the heavy rain and high water potential comes two chances at putting snow on the ground. I will get to all that in a bit. First, let’s focus on the high water potential.

A Flood Watch is out across areas of southern and southeastern Kentucky through Thursday morning…

Much of this are has picked up 1″-2″ of rain on the day and will go over the 2″ mark this evening. Another 1″-3″ of rain is possible late Wednesday into Wednesday night as another wave of low pressure moves in.

Here are your evening tracking toys…

Temps crash quickly on Thursday as our front moves to the east and one more waves of low pressure working along it. Light snow will break out Thursday night and take us into Friday and should be able to put down light accumulations across central and eastern Kentucky.

Here’s how the NAM sees that…

Maybe some folks can get a snow day on Friday? Hmmm

Behind that comes a more potent system for Saturday. This brings the increasing potential for snow to much of the region. The models are getting a little more interesting as we get closer to this.

Here’s the GFS showing the early Friday snow and the Saturday snow maker…

FOR FUN, here’s the snow forecast from that particular run. This is from now through Sunday…

The EURO isn’t that far behind…

Again, those are just computer model forecasts, so hold your horses for another day or two. We will see how the trend looks over the next few days.

I will have an update on WKYT at 11 then on KWC later tonight. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:14 pm

Heavy Rains Increase

Good afternoon, everyone. Heavy rain continues to come at us in waves and will only increase as we go through the day and into Wednesday. Some areas of the state are already working on more than 2″ of rain(as of noon) with flood warnings across the west. As of this writing, there are no Flood Watches anywhere in the Commonwealth.

The latest model trends continue to up the ante for flooding and flash flooding across the southern half of the state. The newer runs are targeting southeastern Kentucky with a ton of rain. The GFS has some 6″ amounts by Thursday morning…

The NAM isn’t too far behind…

Again, watch for the possibility of high water issues to develop.

Colder air comes in behind all this late Thursday with a period of light snow likely for Thursday night into Friday…

The GFS is also showing this and the increasing snow potential across central and eastern Kentucky with our Saturday system…

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and then again on KWC this evening. Here are your tracking tools for the afternoon…

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:08 am

Tracking The High Water Threat

Good Tuesday, everyone. It’s a super-soaker of a pattern that rolls through the next few days, bringing the potential for local high water issues. Later this week, we have the potential for some winter weather and even some light accumulations of snow.

Rounds of heavy rain continue today and we may even hear some rumbles of thunder. Given the setup, flash flooding issues are possible. That’s especially the case with additional waves of heavy rain through Wednesday and early Thursday.

My thoughts on the areas of greatest high water concerns remain the same…

A general 1`”-4″ of rain is likely across the region, with locally higher amounts possible. That’s especially the case if a few thunderstorms get into the mix.

The Hi Res NAM is going crazy with some of the rain numbers through Wednesday night…

The GFS shows amounts around 5″…

The ICON has some similar totals…

High water issues may become an issue later today and into Wednesday. If you live in a low-lying area, keep a close eye on water levels.

By later Thursday, temps crash and we will get in on rounds of light snow that takes us into Friday. The NAM shows this into Friday morning…

You can also see a touch of freezing rain trying to show up in the north on Wednesday.

Here’s the light snow accumulation from the NAM…

The next system then takes a southern track on Saturday and could bring a swath of snow into parts of the state. The European Model is pretty amped up in the east…

I will have updates later today. Until then, I have you all hooked up to track today’s soaking…

Have a great one and take care.

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