Daily Archives: February 6, 2020

Time posted: 7:38 pm

Winter Weather Advisory

Good evening, folks. We continue to track devastating flooding across southeastern Kentucky as our focus shifts quickly toward our snow event. This will cause travel issues late tonight into early Friday and may be an overachiever in some areas.

Flooding continues in many areas of southeastern Kentucky. Here’s a look at the current warnings…

The Cumberland River is headed into Major Flood Stage tonight into Friday…

Cumberland River at Pineville

Cumberland River at Barbourville

Cumberland River at Williamsburg

The snow develops this evening across western Kentucky and expands as it moves east. With temps dropping into the upper 20s and low 30s, accumulating snow is likely. A Winter Weather Advisory is out for just about the entire state…

My thoughts on the snowfall remain the same…

Can we get some areas to hit the high end of that or exceed it? That’s possible and something we will have to watch.

The late afternoon model runs look like this…

GFS

EURO

Short Range Canadian

NAM

I have you all set to do some snow tracking…

Paducah

Fort Campbell

Bowling Green

E-town

Louisville

No image available.

No image available.

Lexington


Covington area

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_75_1908.jpg

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_471_0045.jpg

Florence

No image available.

Georgetown

Frankfort

Morehead

Winchester

Maysville

Mt. Vernon

Corbin

Mountain Parkway near Slade

I will have the very latest on WKYT tonight at 11pm and then again late tonight on KWC. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:11 pm

Tracking Serious Flooding and Snow

Good afternoon, everyone. Major flooding is ongoing across areas of southeastern Kentucky and this looks to continue for a while as the rivers rise. Later this evening through Friday, it’s all about winter as snow develops across the entire region, bringing widespread accumulations.

Let’s begin with the flooding. It’s bad.. REALLY bad. Many roads are closed and several homes and businesses have water in them across the southeast. The flash flooding is transitioning to a general flood with the Cumberland River likely reaching major flood levels over the next few days.

Here are your flood tracking tools…

Cold air continues to push east across the area as another area of low pressure develops along the front. This will cause rain and snow to break out across the west late this afternoon and early evening. By late evening, snow is taking over across western and central Kentucky and will intensify as it moves east into early Friday.

Accumulations are likely for many, with the greatest impact across central and eastern Kentucky. Here’s an update to my first call I had on WKYT last night…

I’m worried about this becoming an overachiever, so those numbers may have to be adjusted up in some areas. I will have a brand New Call For Snowfall on WKYT starting at 4pm.

The GFS is much more widespread with the snow and matches my map from above…

The Canadian is doing what the NAM has done a couple of times in recent days and blows this into a big event…

The NAM is pretty neurotic and it shows with the latest run…

Hi Res NAM

Regardless of how much snow falls, this will be a high impact travel event early Friday. With so much water out there from recent rains and temps hitting the 20s, we are going to ice things up pretty good as the snow falls.

Winter Weather Advisories should already be out, but you know how it goes around here…

Again, I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and will likely have snowfall updates through the early evening shows. I’ll be back on KWC this evening.

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 3:44 am

Flood Threat Before Some Snow

Good Thursday, everyone. Flooding and flash flooding issues are likely to begin the day across areas of southeastern Kentucky, then our focus shifts to accumulating snow tonight and Friday. This is our best chance for a widespread snowfall since NOVEMBER.

Let’s start with the flooding in the south and southeast. Rounds of heavy rain continue to target this region through the early afternoon. Some areas down here will finish with better than 4″ of rain. Each band of rain focuses a little farther east. Here are your heavy rain and flood trackers of the morning…

Drier air comes into play during the afternoon across central and western parts of the state as temps drop. With our front to the east, another wave of low pressure develops along this, bringing an increasing band of snow across the state. This develops in the west and intensifies as it moves east.

This will be a widespread light snowfall, but there’s likely to be a decent swath of accumulations showing up across areas of central and eastern Kentucky. By decent, I mean a 1″-3″ snowfall with an outside possibility of locally higher amounts. With temps dropping into the 20s later tonight and Friday morning and that will lead to slick travel. With all the water from recent rains still around, the stage is set for some icy roads with some snow on top.

The models continue to vary on amounts and placement, but all have the best snow look of the winter season. Let’s take a look:

The NAM continues to have a stripe of heavier snows across the eastern half of the state…

The Hi Res NAM is similar…

The Canadian Model is now taking on a similar look…

The GFS has increased totals from earlier runs, but is still lighter and more on the choppy side…

The EURO is more central and northern Kentucky oriented…

Flakes will fly through Friday evening, with the next system moving in on Saturday. That one should bring another light snowfall…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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