Daily Archives: February 10, 2020

Time posted: 7:40 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Waves of heavy rain continue to target our part of the world, bringing an overnight flood threat across southeastern parts of the state. The more widespread show arrives Wednesday into Wednesday night and could bring a few strong storms with it.

Many areas have already picked up well over an inch of rain on the day and we have quite a bit more to go through over the next few days. We’ve had some minor high water issues across areas all the way north to Interstate 64.

The current flood watch through early Tuesday continues to cover only a few counties in the far southeast…

Another round of heavy rain moves in overnight and early Tuesday, then a break shows up. That won’t have a long shelf life as more heavy rain and thunderstorms move in for Wednesday and Wednesday night. Here’s the additional rainfall from the models…

NAM

GFS

The threat for severe weather on Wednesday hasn’t been updated since earlier…

Here are the trackers for the rest of the evening…

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:25 pm

Monday Afternoon Flood Thoughts

Good afternoon, everyone. Rounds of heavy rain continue to roll across the region and this is a sign of things to come. Additional heavy rain and strong storms will be noted through the middle of the week as a potent system moves in. All of this leads to an increased flooding risk.

A Flood Watch is out for only a few counties in the far southeastern part of the state..

I get that those were the counties hardest hit, but come on guys. Expand that thing to include much more of this region. Geez.

This may need to be expanded much farther north for Tuesday and Wednesday as the next wave of heavy rain moves across much of the region. That’s especially true since some areas have already picked up well more than 1″ of rain through noon today…

The next round of heavier rain arrives tonight and early Tuesday before a bit of a break in the action. That window closes quickly with heavy rain and strong storms arriving Wednesday. Colder winds blow for Thursday with some flakes flying…

The Flood Threat map remains the same during this time…

The severe risk for Wednesday afternoon and evening is there, especially across parts of southern Kentucky. Here’s the outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

The setup from this weekend through next week continues the active pattern with more rounds of heavy rain…

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and then again on KWC this evening. I leave you with your tracking toys…

Enjoy the afternoon and take care.

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Time posted: 1:49 am

Flooding Possible This Week

Good Monday, everyone. Rounds of heavy rain are back in the bluegrass state, bringing an increased threat for more flooding problems. This includes flash flooding and general flooding issues, especially across the already battered areas of southeastern Kentucky.

In addition to the heavy rain threat, don’t sleep on today’s winds. Gusts of 40mph or higher will be possible. With a soggy ground, a few trees may be uprooted.

My overall thoughts on the flooding haven’t changed. Here’s the area most at risk…

A general 2″-4″ of rain is likely across much of the region this week, with locally higher amounts across the southeast. This will come at us in waves with the first round of heavy rain today through early Tuesday.

Hopefully, Flood Watches come today on a broad scale…

If we just look at the rain numbers through Tomorrow, we find some hefty totals across the southeast…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

If we expand the NAM through Wednesday night, those numbers grow even more as the next round of heavy rain and thunderstorms move through…

Here are the totals through Thursday from the Canadian…

The EURO…

The GFS is a little lower…

As colder air sweeps in on Thursday, there’s the chance for some winter weather to show up, especially in the north. After a dry Friday and Saturday, things look to turn wet again by Sunday and Monday. That’s when we go back into a pretty ugly setup. The GFS rain amounts through next week…

As that second system moves through late Wednesday, there’s even the potential for strong to severe storms across the south. Here’s the latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:

I will have your usual updates later today. I leave you with your tracking tools for the day…

Make it a great Monday and take care.

14 Comments