Daily Archives: February 14, 2020

Time posted: 8:01 pm

Friday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, everyone. All you lovers are out and about enjoying some very cold temps, but it’s a dry evening. As we head into the weekend, we do change it up a bit, but a more potent system works in here by early next week. That keeps our up and down temp pattern rolling.

The weekend is mainly dry until Sunday afternoon, when a few showers show up. The best chance is across central and eastern Kentucky.

The system early next week has a shot of mild ahead of it, with a blast of cold behind it. In between will come gusty showers and some thunder from late Monday into Tuesday. That boundary checks up somewhere to our south and may allow another storm system to bowl from west to east. Can that get far enough north to produce some winter weather in here? We shall see.

Here’s the GFS with the setup…

The European Model has a colder push of air and keeps any possible system well to our south…

Regardless, this is a very cold setup coming in behind that, but it’s not going to stick around very long. Odds favor some wild swings through the rest of the month. Check out the Euro Ensembles temperature deviations from normal…

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:13 pm

Valentine’s Day Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Our frigid Valentine’s Day continues as temps struggle through the 20s on a blast of arctic air. The hit and run snow showers put down light accumulations and a few of those are still at it this afternoon. As we head into the weekend, temps come up.

The snow shower action is falling in arctic air and that means two things. 1. It doesn’t take much moisture to spit out flakes. 2. The flakes are mostly filled with air and can be brushed away.

Here’s your regional radar…

Temps are frigid again tonight before bouncing back on Saturday. Highs reach the 40s with a mix of clouds and sun.

Sunday is milder, but a sneaky system brings a few late day showers into play, especially in the north and east…

Temps continue to climb Monday and Tuesday, but with a wet price. Showers and a few storms move in ahead of a potent cold front. There’s a lot of cold air coming in behind this and we will need to watch for a second system pushing through a few days later. That one could be a winter weather maker.

The models continue to show something, but can’t quite figure it out…

GFS

ICON

Canadian

I will throw you another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:03 am

Cold Weather Is For Lovers

Good Friday and Happy Valentine’s Day. Arctic air continues to spill into the region today, bringing some of the coldest temps of the winter. Some folks are even seeing a few flakes to begin the day, but it’s all eyes on a much better looking and feeling weekend.

Temps this morning are in the teens for many with a wind chill dropping into the singles. With a cold northwesterly wind, a few flurries or snow showers are possible across central and eastern Kentucky early on. Light accumulations will be possible in a few spots and could even create slick travel on a local scale…

Temps this afternoon only reach the upper 20s to middle 30s.

After another frigid start on Saturday, temps rebound into the mid and upper 40s for many with dry weather. This dry weather rolls into Sunday as temps hit the 50s. There’s a small chance for an evening shower showing up on Sunday, so keep that in mind.

The mainly dry weekend is good news because we are still dealing with Flood Warnings for many of the rivers…

The weekend continues to look dry with a mix of clouds and some sun. Highs on Saturday reach the 40s and could flirt with 50 after a frigid start. Sunday finds temps making a run into the 50-55 degree range.

The setup for next week continues to have a somewhat interesting look to it. Another cold front drops in here from the northwest by Tuesday. Ahead of this, temps may spike toward the low 60s with a major temp crash coming behind it. Rain and a few thunderstorms will be with us ahead of the front from Monday night into Tuesday. Much colder air comes in behind that and we could see a little winter weather.

The GFS shoots a southern system eastward…

That’s something to watch for, but it’s not something that’s a certainty by any stretch of the imagination.

Have a great Valentine’s Day and take care.

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