Daily Archives: February 16, 2020

Time posted: 3:22 pm

Sunday Look Ahead

Good afternoon, everyone. A weak system is pushing across the state today and it’s bringing a shower or two along for the ride. As we roll into the week ahead, we find a stronger system set to impact the region by Tuesday with colder air moving in behind it. There’s still a low chance for a second system to work from west to east and impact our region later in the week.

Here’s your regional radar to track any Sunday shower…

Temps range from the upper 40s to middle 50s.

Monday will feature mainly dry skies with temps pushing 60. Our cold front arrives late Tuesday with gusty showers and a few thunderstorms ahead of it. This will bring some decent rains in here and I could see a few spots closing in on an inch.

This front presses to our south and we should see a second system develop along it. Where is this front when the next system develops? If you’re a snow lover, you want this front to slow down farther north.

The models are still showing this happening too far south for much in the way of winter weather…

GFS

Canadian

EURO

The GFS Ensembles are actually farther north than all the operational models…

So, I’m not saying this is a full blown miss by any means, but the odds favor this staying to our south. It’s worth watching, though.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 12:58 am

Watching The Week Ahead

Good Sunday, everyone. A weak system is moving into the region today, bringing the chance for a shower or two with it. The week ahead will find some big temp swings as a more powerful front enters the picture. Can we squeeze out a little winter weather behind this system? There’s, at least, a small chance for that.

Before we get to that, let’s take a little trip back in time. It was 5 years ago today we were dealing with the first of two back to back shutdown snowstorms across Kentucky…

5 Years Ago Today

Relive the lead up to this massive storm…

The Day Before The Storm

Watch The Forecast Come Together 2 Days Before

How much fun was that?!!!!

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Temps will range from the upper 40s to the middle 50s, depending on where you are in relation to clouds and any shower action. The showers won’t be terribly widespread by any means, but a few show up across the central and east.

Here’s regional radar to follow along…

Temps spike to near 60 on Monday as we wait on our strong cold front. This will bring gusty rains from late Monday through Tuesday as colder air quickly filters in behind the boundary. Can we get a second wave of low pressure to develop and roll east along this front once it gets to our south? That’s the question I’ve been asking for a few days now.

The models haven’t been too keen on this idea, but the new NAM is giving it a chance. It only goes out through Wednesday morning, but you can see a swath of light snow developing at the end of the run…

The GFS still has the second system going well to our south…

The Canadian agrees…

Temps rebound quickly by the weekend as we watch a couple of potent plains storm systems work our way into the following week…

A clash of the seasons may set off some thunderstorms if that track verifies. Following that would come a much colder pattern.

If you’ve been reading of late, you’ve seen me posting about the GFS Ensembles going mild then turning cold for the end of February into the start of March. Well, the Euro Ensembles are sensing the same thing…

Seriously, if we get our winter packed into the month of March, I’m going to be one angry weatherdude. #teamspring 🙂

I will have an update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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