Daily Archives: February 25, 2020

Time posted: 7:50 pm

Waiting On Some Winter Weather

Good evening, everyone. Old Man Winter is set to pay a visit to the bluegrass state for the remaining days of February. No less than three systems have the chance to put down some light snow during this time. I’m sure our resident snow lovers are happy to have something to track! 🙂

Temps continue to slide this evening as colder air comes in from the west. A few light showers and some drizzle will continue to be noted…

Here’s the breakdown on the winter weather potential for the next several days:

  • Morning showers on Wednesday will change to a period of light snow from west to east into the afternoon and evening as temps crash.
  • Snow showers will then kick in on a strong northwest wind Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Coatings are possible for many, with some local half inch amounts. A touch more can show up in the high ground of the southeast.
  • With temps in the 20s Thursday morning, some slick spots will be possible.
  • After a break in the action. a clipper brings a round of light snow in here Thursday night and Friday. This has a better chance to put down light accumulations that can cause travel issues.
  • Another system will then zip from the northwest on Saturday and bring another shot at some light snows.
  • Light is the key word and our snows are NOT coming all at once. The model snow maps I will be showing are cumulative through Saturday. It’s not the depth on the ground, it’s how much falls during the entire time. Melt… light snow… melt… light snow… melt. Catch my drift? 🙂

Here’s what the NAM is seeing through Friday evening…

Here’s the NAM snowfall map from that run…

The GFS continues to be most aggressive…

The GFS Ensembles are also fond of this potential…

The Euro isn’t as impressed, but still has some light totals…

I will update everything on WKYT-TV tonight at 11 then again with the normal late night update here on KWC.

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:19 pm

Updating The Winter Weather Potential

Good afternoon, everyone. It’s a much better weather day taking shape across the region, but we are still tracking a shower chance. The big news is the return of winter weather for the rest of February and a big switch to mild and stormy for early March.

Temps today are deep into the 50s and may reach the low 60s in the south. That’s especially true if we can get a few rays of sunshine to show up.

Here are your tracking toys for any shower going up…

The fun part of the program begins Wednesday as low pressure works through the region, dragging a strong cold front across Kentucky. Temps crash behind this front with rain changing to a period of light snow during the evening. From there, a strong northwest wind touches off snow showers for central and eastern Kentucky through early Thursday. With temps in the 20s, light accumulations and slick spots on area roads will be possible.

A clipper then moves quickly in behind this for Thursday night into Friday. Light accumulations are a good bet with this.

Another, albeit weaker, clipper then moves in late Friday night into Saturday with more light snow. Once again, light accumulations will be possible for some.

Here’s how the GFS sees this…

The GFS is actually pretty aggressive with the upslope snow potential in the mountains of southeastern Kentucky. Here’s the snow map from that run through Saturday…

The Canadian is actually pretty similar looking…

As March arrives Sunday, temps take off and may spike into the 50s. By early next week, MUCH milder air is pushing in here and I wouldn’t be surprised to see temps make a run at 70 at some point. This mild air may help fire up some pretty good thunderstorms as a system approaches from the west. The heavy rain potential looks to return. Here’s the GFS rainfall forecast through next week…

Ugh!

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm then again on KWC this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:01 am

Winter Isn’t Done Just Yet

Good Tuesday, folks. While we track a few more showers across the state today, it’s Old Man Winter waiting in the wings for the rest of the week. We have cold air on the way and this will bring a few snow chances back to the bluegrass state. We may even put some of the white stuff on the ground.

As is usually the case, let’s talk about today before we get to the tomorrow. A few showers continue, but this won’t be all day rains and we may even see some breaks in the sky. Temps spike deep into the 50s and may flirt with 60 in the south.

Here are your radars to follow any shower near you…

The outlook from late Wednesday through Saturday continues to look rather wintry, especially for the winter we are about to wrap up.

A cold front works in here on Wednesday with rain ahead of it and, as temps crash, some snow behind it. This could bring the potential for light accumulations Wednesday night and early Thursday. That’s when snow showers kick in on a pretty strong northwest flow.

Behind that will come a couple of clipper looking systems dropping in from the northwest. The first arrives Thursday night and early Friday, with the next one Friday night and early Saturday. Both of those can also drop light accumulations.

Let’s see how the models are handling all the action.

The NAM only goes through Thursday night, but it’s picking up on what we’ve talked about…

The GFS goes through the whole scenario…

Here’s the snowfall from that run through Friday night…

The Canadian Model has a similar look…

Same for the EURO…

This wintry pattern will go away quickly as we flip the calendar to March on Sunday. Temps rebound quickly and next week looks flat out mild. Temps may reach well into the 60s on multiple days with a potent storm system we will need to keep tabs on as the week wears on.

If we look farther down the road through March and into early April, we find the Euro Weeklies skewing warmer than normal during this time…

Keep in mind, that warmer than normal average includes the well below normal temps coming this week into the weekend. Obviously, the model skews very mild after to overcome that.

Oh and it’s also forecasting well above normal precipitation…

Are you really shocked to see the wet weather bullseye right on top of Kentucky? We need average well above normal to fight off the Drought Monitor. We are entering the time of year when it routinely shows us in a drought, even as we get stuck in the mud.:) I kid, I kid… Kinda.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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