Daily Archives: February 29, 2020

Time posted: 1:49 pm

Leap Day Update

Good afternoon, everyone. We have a nice looking final day of February showing up across the region with the first day of March looking even better. Wow… Are we really about ready to begin the third month of the year? That seems crazy to me. Slow. Down. Time.

Temps this afternoon range from the middle 30s to the low 40s with mostly sunny skies. Temps tonight reach the 20s, but your Sunday looks amazing. Clouds will increase with temps making a run at the low 60s for many.

The trend for the week ahead setup continues for be much less rain than what the models were forecasting. The initial front moving in for Monday and early Tuesday has more of a push to it and you can see that on the NAM…

If that happens, the main corridor of heaviest rain will then shift south for Wednesday. Still, heavy rains through Tuesday look likely. Here’s the NAM into Tuesday…

Here’s the GFS rain map through the rest of the week…

The GFS ensembles continue to be aimed a little farther north, but the heaviest is south…

Here’s hoping that trend continues, folks! We don’t want any part of that setup.

A few flakes may follow that with some colder air by the end of the week. Once into next weekend and beyond, it’s a warm signal showing up through the middle of March…

GFS Ensembles

EURO Ensembles

#teamspring approves this message. 🙂

Have a great rest of the day and take care.


Time posted: 2:45 am

Watching Early March

Good Saturday, everyone. Our last light snow maker continues to pull away from the region early today as much better weather rolls in for the weekend. As we flip the calendar from February to March, we focus on mild temps with the potential for rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms early next week.

Last night’s snows didn’t disappoint with some 1″-2″ amounts showing up in some of the bands we talked about. Early morning flakes move away, but roads may be icy with temps around 20 degrees. Temps reach the upper 30s to middle 40s with a mostly sunny sky.

March comes in with clouds increasing and temps heading into the upper 50s to low 60s on Sunday. It looks like an awesome day.

Rain rolls in here Sunday night into Monday and kicks off a very active week of weather. The trend of the models is for less rain for next week, but they look pretty muddled to me, so I wouldn’t put too much stock in any one model, even though I really hope this trend holds.

Still, this is a very unsettled look with the potential for some big rains and even the chance for a little winter on the backside…




I will have updates later today. I leave you with your early day trackers to watch the flakes get out of town…




Pine Mountain


Mt. Vernon



Mountain Parkway near Slade

Have a great day and take care.