Daily Archives: April 5, 2020

Time posted: 2:20 pm

Tracking The Storms Ahead

Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the storms settling in here for the next few days. With a abnormally warm and windy setup, the potential continues for strong to severe storms.

As of now, the main threats appear to be Tuesday into Tuesday night then again Wednesday night and early Thursday.

The SPC has our region in the Severe Weather Outlook for Tuesday…

Storms look to develop and drop in from the northwest during this time. Damaging winds and large hail are the main players, with a very small tornado risk.

Temps from Monday through Wednesday will be deep into the 70s with the possibility of a few low 80s showing up.

Once our front moves in Thursday, much colder air sweeps in here with a frost and freeze threat late week into the weekend. Some additional cold shots look to follow that the following week. We will talk more about that later tonight.

I leave you with your Sunday isolated shower and storm trackers…

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:48 am

Big Changes On The Way

Good Sunday, friends. A couple of showers and thunderstorms are on the move today as we get set to wrap up the first weekend of April. This is a sign of things to come for the next several days as temps stay pretty darn nice. That may change quickly late next week into next weekend. There’s some ugly trying to show up.

Temps out there today are a little cooler in the north compared to everywhere else. A shower or storm may also show up…

The Monday through Wednesday time period continues to feature very warm conditions with readings that can, at some point, make a run at 80. A few storms will also be around and a couple could be on the strong side.

As our cold front moves through Thursday, temps drop to below normal. That could bring frost and freezing conditions into the weekend. This would also be followed up by another shot of cold into early the following week…

The pattern is going to try and throw some additional cold shots at us through the middle of the month. I mentioned in my last post how snowflakes have been known to show up before in April. The Ensembles say there’s an outside chance of that happening this year…

EURO

GFS

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

If we look much farther down the road, we find the European Model Weeklies showing a return of a very wet pattern, but it comes with temps averaging closer to normal.

Here are the rainfall anomalies from mid April through mid May…

That, obviously, argues for a very stormy setup and it likely means a pretty active heart of the severe weather season.

The overall temperature pattern for the same time averages near normal…

All that colder than normal air in the plains states also argues for an active storm season around here.

Have a great day and take care.

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