Good Tuesday, friends. Showers and thunderstorms will be common across the bluegrass state today. These boomers may bring some very heavy rains and a few of the storms may be strong or severe. This is part of a rather stormy setup for the rest of the week.

There is a lot of moisture available for these storms to tap and that means very heavy rain will be a good bet. The greatest severe weather potential is likely to be to our south, but a few severe storms can’t be ruled out across parts of central and southern Kentucky.

The latest tracking tools…

Today’s Risk Area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches

Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas Current MDs

Scattered showers and storms will continue to be possible each day through the upcoming weekend. High temps should continue to average below normal with upper 70s to low 80s for many.

There is a model battle brewing down the road. Many of the operational models like the GFS and European are suggesting widespread 90s developing late next week. The GFS Ensembles goes the other way and develops another deep trough across the region…

GFS 2

While I do think we get in on a period of “hot” weather this summer, the trend of dips in the trough is a tough nut to crack right now.

I will have updates on the storms as needed. Have a great day and take care.