Good Tuesday, gang. A busy weather day is taking shape across the bluegrass state as heat and humidity give way to the threat for severe storms. The star of the show will end up being the big cool down that’s on the way later this week. The timing on that may deliver some of the best weather we’ve ever had on the 4th of July.

Lets breakdown what we are looking at in the short term…

TEMPS

– Highs today will range from the upper 80s to low 90s across most of the state. Humidity levels are crazy high and that will lead to a heat index around 100 degrees for many. Some areas may push 105 for a brief time.

STORMS

– While scattered storms will be possible at any point today, the bulk of the action comes late. A line of afternoon and evening storms may develop and drop across the state form northwest to southeast.

– Damaging winds are usually the biggest threats with this type of a setup. Large hail would be a much lower threat. Tornado threat is even much lower than that.

– Storms will be torrential rain and lightning producers.

A cold front will continue to work into the region later Wednesday into Thursday. That means additional rounds of scattered storms should be around. The big news is what comes behind it. This is a healthy blast of cooler air moving in for the 4th of July Holiday period.

Check out the GFS forecast highs…

GFS

Now for the lows…

GFS 2Like I said… this could end up being one amazing 4th of July! The only thing that could cause a change in that is the tropical development off the southeast coast. I will keep watch on that in the coming days.

I will also be watching today’s storm threat and you can do the same…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Current temperatures

Have a great day and take care.