Good Monday, everyone.  We have a small blast of heat moving in for a few days, but the pattern continues to be skewed way below normal. Additional shots of fall air are on the way over the next week and it looks like early August will feature more of the same. Throw in several rounds of rain and storms and you get the best of both worlds.

Temps today will hit the mid and upper 80s in central and eastern Kentucky and near 90 in the west. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible with some very muggy air in place.

Tuesday’s weather looks very similar with highs from the upper 80s to low 90s across the state. A few afternoon and evening storms may pop up.

Wednesday could be a active weather day as a strong cold front moves in from the northwest This will bring an increase in showers and thunderstorms our way and some of these could be strong by evening. Winds look to be very gusty throughout the day. Temps could hit the low 90s if the clouds and storms arrive during the evening. If they come in earlier, temps will be cooler.

Locally heavy rains are a good bet with the storms that blow through early Thursday…

GFS Check out how far below normal the models show the Thursday afternoon temps…

GFS 3

That should set us up with some very pleasant temps through the start of the weekend. This is when a stronger push of fall air arrives with even more widespread showers and thunderstorms…

GFS 2That unleashes another mega-trough that digs in early next week…

GFS 4That looks a lot like the recent shots of cool air and shows how little the overall pattern has changed since last fall. Think about it… how many anomalous dips in the jet stream have we seen since then? This has been a fairly stable pattern and I don’t see a lot of change going forward.

Back to my story… temps early next week will tank, again…

EuroThat’s a very cool end to July and I suspect it hangs around into early August. The latest forecast from the CFS shows average temps from now through Labor Day as being below normal…

CFS

Make it a great Monday and take care.