Good Friday afternoon, gang. Our threat for severe weather is increasing for the weekend and it may come at us in a couple of rounds. The setup is primed for some big time storms to develop between hot and humid air and potential record breaking cold.
The first round looks to form to our northwest Saturday afternoon and come rolling in Saturday evening into Saturday Night. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted this potential quite well for tomorrow…
That may end up being a full blown complex of damaging wind producing storms that would also bring a local flash flood threat with them. These storms will then roll toward the southeast across central and eastern Kentucky into Sunday morning.
We find this cluster of storms exiting the region early in the day with the powerhouse cold front charging in from the northwest. That could ignite additional severe thunderstorms through Sunday evening. The SPC has a greater risk for severe weather with this setup…
Looks like a busy severe weather weekend for much of the region. I will have the latest updates on the threat starting at 4 today on WKYT-TV.
Enjoy the rest of the day and take care.
Im not buying in on anything rain wise for my area of frankfort, if it takes a severe cluster of storms to get a inch or so of rain bring it on!
The last time my yard got 1 inch of rain was on June 19th!
.75 in. For the month of July, saving grace so far has been the cooler temps!
Thanks Chris. I know you will stay on top of it and keep us informed. Thanks for all you do
The severe weather around Central Kentucky this year has been less than impressive. I will never discount Mother Nature, but it seems like she has been taking valium lately.
NWS Louisville latest Forecast Discussion posted a few minutes ago places Lexington in an area that could see highest chances for wind damage in our region.
However, they admit fine tuning will be ongoing as to future forecasts for this event.
Well another day with hardly any sunshine.Near 4 pm and so far 75 is the high here today.Haven’t need the AC on at all.Have one fan in the back window and it has stayed on 74 inside all day.
Thanks for the details Chris.I know many need rain but I am sure hoping no bad storms has to come with it.The power companies are probably hoping so too.Seems there has been a lot of line damage and outages with the last recent ones.
I wish I could say the same. It can be 65 degrees (sunny) outside with my windows open and still manage to get into the 70s inside my house. If it’s sunny and in the 70s outside and if windows are open, the temp will end up in the upper 70s inside. I hate not having big shade trees around my house. On a day like today, it would be 80 in my house or more without the AC on.
There have even been times in the fall when we have sunny days in the 50s and low temps in the 30s and I don’t use the heat at all.
Reading both discussions from JKL and LMK, neither office seems too confident of the Severe Weather Threats.
Both offices are still fine tuning their forecasts but do feel reasonably confident that severe weather will become a problem for parts of the region.
Spotters are already being advised to be on standby for their reports by both NWS offices for the potential of severe weather.
If trends are consistent, overnight MCS will come into and stick into the area through mid day on Sunday and keep down the Instability. Sure there will be a few Severe Thunderstorm Warnings, but I just don’t see an Outbreak happening.
I need the rain.
stay positive.
I have been burnt dry by the fade and splitter this season.
kind of like Reds batters.
Thankfully, stronger tornadoes this time of year in our area are virtually unheard of, despite all the summer t-storms we get. Our biggest tornado threat is during the spring months. But by summer, stronger twisters tend to migrate to the Great Lakes states and the northern plains.
Kentucky and Tennessee have never had any tornado deaths during the month of July, at least in recorded history. Also, no KY/TN tornadoes stronger than EF2 in July other than a single EF3 in Tennessee during the mid-1980s. But there can always be a first time. Besides, even an EF1 can destroy a mobile home. While damaging straight-line winds may be the biggest threat this weekend, we still need to get ready for lightning strikes, isolated flash flooding, large hail………and perhaps isolated twisters.
Thanks CB for keeping up informed!
Reading the NWS this sounds like another crap shoot on severe weather chances, morning clouds, energetic stuff heading into Ohio and WVirginia, a few lucky areas will get a good rain, I’m sure the driest areas will miss out!
Yeah, we’ve seen this time and again…threat is there a few days out but the rain almost never materializes. Almost reminds me of winter.
Sunday is the day to watch.