Good Monday, everyone. What a weather weekend in the bluegrass state! A severe weather outbreak rocked the region with damaging winds and very large hail. I had more tornado warnings to deal with than at any time since March 2nd of 2012. The severe threat is over and now we track the potential for near record cold in the coming days.

The next few days may go down as one of the cooler endings to July on record around here. The setup will feature a deep trough digging in across the eastern part of the country through Wednesday. This will unleash a big-time shot of fall air that could drop overnight lows into the upper 40s to low 50s on any night that has clear skies.

Check out the GFS forecast lows…

GFSThose numbers would set some record lows if they verify. We would nee clear skies and little in the way of fog to do that, but a wet ground argues for some fog. Regardless… we will be very close to records.

Highs will generally range in the 70s through Wednesday with a daily threat for showers and even an isolated thunderstorm. Any areas getting in on afternoon clouds and showers may see temps in the upper 60s to low 70s.

The deep trough will leave behind a closed upper level low by the coming weekend…

GFS 5

That should lead to an increase in showers and a few thunderstorms by late week into the coming weekend. Afternoon temps won’t respond very might with highs from the upper 70s to low 80s.

How about the first week of August? The cooler than normal pattern remains…

GFS 2

There is some data suggesting August turns out similar to July with much below normal temperatures. Summer? Meh… who needs it. 😉

I leave you with today’s trackers…

Current temperatures

Have a great day and take care.