Good Thursday, everyone. We’ve made it to the final day of July and our cooler than normal weather pattern shows no signs of changing. The nice conditions will begin to change as the threat for showers and thunderstorms increase in the coming days.

Let’s start with where we are today and roll forward toward the fall and winter. Wait… what? Ok, Ok… a small model preview of the fall and winter. 🙂

Highs today will hit the low 80s for many with the threat for a shower or thunderstorm going up. Track away…

Current Temperatures

Moisture will increase for Friday and this looks to give us a slightly better chance for a few showers and storms kicking in. That’s especially true across the eastern part of the state…

NAM

The scattered showers and storms will continue to fire up on Saturday with temps back in the upper 70s to low 80s.

The overall pattern continues to feature lower heights in the atmosphere through the weekend…

NAM 2

The setup for next week is likely to feature another dip in the jet stream for the middle and end of the week. The European Model is going toward a stout cutoff upper level low…

Euro 2

That would lead to more cooler than normal temps and a wetter pattern taking shape.

What about the fall and winter ahead of us? It’s too early to get a good grip on things as I love to see how things look through the early Fall. The big warm pool off the west coast into the Gulf of Alaska is still going strong and that’s one reason our pattern hasn’t changes much over the past year.

One of the longer range models shows the colder than normal pattern continuing…Japan Model 2

Have a great last day of the month and take care.