Good Thursday, everyone. Our stormy pattern rolls on and is likely to hang tough through the first half of next week. The storms in recent days have caused flooding, power outages and some wind damage. The storms ahead of us will likely do the same.

My biggest worry continues to be flash flooding. The ground is waterlogged in many areas and it won’t take very much at all to cause high water problems. Some spots in Kentucky are already showing record amounts of rain for the month of August.

The storms will continue to come at us in waves from northwest to southeast with the greatest concentration across central and eastern Kentucky. These will be loaded with lightning and torrential rains and will be able to cause some local wind damage. These rounds of storms will likely come at us through the upcoming weekend.

All of this is on the cusp of a heat ridge across the plains states. The local heat hypers have been having a field day with this, even though it never really gets into central and eastern Ky. The blog has been focusing on the thunderstorm threat because that’s what happens when we find ourselves on the eastern side of a plains heat wave. That’s where we look to stay for several more days.

Big changes are likely next week as a trough digs in from the northwest. It’s at this point we see the tropics coming to life and several models continue to develop a storm that threatens the southeast or Gulf states. We will worry about that potential in a few days.

For now… let’s track more rounds of heavy rain and storms through the region…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Have a great day and take care.