Good Monday, folks. The more things change, the more they stay the same. That’s a very appropriate saying for the world of weather this week. The overall setup will change, but the actual weather conditions will be similar to what we’ve been dealing with in recent weeks. That doesn’t bode well for our Labor Day Weekend.

Some steam and some scattered storms will be back on the weather menu today through Wednesday. A cold front will enter the picture by Thursday and Friday, but won’t be able to fully clear the region. Cristobal will likely be a miss for the east coast, but the slow movement of that storm clogs up the pattern behind it.

Here’s how the pattern is looking for the holiday weekend…

Euro 2 A healthy supply of moisture looks to be setting up from the western Gulf of Mexico right on into the bluegrass state. The end result will be muggy air and more showers and thunderstorms…

EuroWe are pretty much locked into a wet pattern into early September, at least. Some of my analog year suggest we will need to watch the Gulf of Mexico for tropical development that could enter the mix. This is also a pattern that should feature above normal temps for much of our region through the middle of September.

Here we go with another day of tracking…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Enjoy the day and take care.