Good Monday, everyone. The last full week of September is off and running on a very chilly note across the bluegrass state and surrounding states. This latest blast of chill may send overnight lows to the coldest levels we’ve seen, so far.

Thermometers this morning will likely start well into the 40s into parts of northern and central Kentucky.

Today’s Lows

A mix of sun and clouds will keep thermometers only in the 60s for highs. Gusty winds will add a bit of a nip to the air in shaded areas.

Current Temperatures

If we can get the winds to calm down tonight, temps will drop close to 40 degrees in some areas. The models have been advertising this for a while…

Hi-Res NAM

NAM 2  NAMNAM

Tuesday highs will be in the mid and upper 60s east to low 70s in the west.

The pattern for the middle and end of the week will feature high pressure to our northeast and a low pressure off the Mid-Atlantic coast. That gives us an easterly to northeasterly flow…

Special 2Pleasant temps in the 70s with nighttime lows in the upper 40s and low 50s should be common during this time. With the placement of the high, it sends the warmest air well to our west and north.

That high will eventually work a little more to the east by the weekend. This will cause our flow to become more southerly and that’s when we have to watch for moisture to work back in. The models continue to point toward some kind of system developing in the Gulf. The GFS brings a healthy slug of rain our way…

GFS 2The European Model suggests a stronger system that tracks up the Appalachian Mountains…

EuroThat’s something to watch for and my 1979 analog year is cheering it on.

Have a great day and take care.