Good Wednesday, everyone. It’s one of the coldest patterns you will ever find around here in the month of November, and it keeps rolling on. Record lows for today were set at midnight in many areas. Seriously… midnight! High single digits and low teens were common around that time.

Don’t look now, but the cold continues! It isn’t going to be the extreme stuff of the past week, but the overall pattern continues to be skewed much colder than normal through Thanksgiving week, at least. Those are the same thoughts I’ve been throwing since early November and nothing has change for me.

We actually have another arctic front swinging into the region later today. This front cause winds to gust up from the west and southwest and that will boost temps well into the 30s for highs. A band of light snow and flurries should accompany this boundary as it slips through here. The high resolution NAM is spitting out some very light accumulations…

NAM 2

Temps coming in behind this system are looking colder as we get closer. Highs on Thursday should range from the upper 20s to low 30s with teens showing up by Friday morning. Highs on Friday hit the low and middle 30s as clouds increase from the southwest.

Moisture moves in Friday night and Saturday morning and I continue to think a period of frozen precipitation is possible for a brief period. The new GFS agrees…

GFS

That is on the leading edge of some milder air pushing in for the weekend. That air is looking cooler by the day, but it’s still way above where we are now. A few showers will be around on Saturday with temps trying to get to 50. Trying is the key word, right now.

Sunday is a windy and a wet day with temps mainly in the 50s. Locally heavy rains will be possible…

Euro

Falling temps will then sweep in on Monday with showers that may end as a mix of some light snow by Monday night and early Tuesday. Cold air is then back in town, though it won’t be like what we are dealing with now.

A system is going to try to run underneath this with some wintry weather to start the Thanksgiving holiday travel period.

I’m more interested in the system that comes in behind that for Black Friday into the weekend. The setup I’m seeing for that has legs from a week and a half away. The European Model will likely show the storm, but be way off because of how it handles energy coming in from the southwest. From this same time period out from the last storm… it was showing a storm cutting through the western Great Lakes. That obviously was way off with a low going by to our east. Know the model biases and correct them. 😉

I will update later today. Make it a good one and take care.