Good evening, all. Our weekend is starting off on a cold note, but will turn much milder! That mild air comes with a price with rain and wind increasing on Sunday. This will lead us back into a wintry pattern for Thanksgiving week.

A couple of showers will try to move in tonight and early Saturday. I still think a brief period of frozen precipitation is possible across northern parts of the state. That’s something to keep a close eye on before milder air fights in for Saturday.

I’m also keeping watch on the upcoming busy Thanksgiving travel period. A lot is going on in the atmosphere and the models are responding in the way I said they would… with trouble. They are having a difficult time in determining which system to develop and which system blows up.

The GFS Ensembles show the possibility of a more phased system by late Wednesday and Thanksgiving. Check out how energy dives in from Canada and merges with a disturbance moving in from the south…

Euro

Some kind of system should come out of all that, but the details are still murky to say the least. Most models do agree that some snow will be possible on Thanksgiving…

GFS 2

As always… we shall see.

Take care.