Good Tuesday, everyone. It’s full steam ahead toward the busiest travel period of the year and it’s going to be a mess across much of the country. A major winter storm will slam the east and that may impact parts of eastern Kentucky. Throw in another possible light snow maker for the rest of the state and you have some tricky travel.

The GFS continues to show this storm throwing some accumulating snows into far southeastern Kentucky later tonight and Wednesday…

GFS

The rest of the snowfall on that map across comes from our system diving in here Wednesday night and Thanksgiving morning. This will likely be in the form of a mix of rain and wet snow to start with light snow and flurries taking over and carrying us into early Thanksgiving…

GFS 2

Some light accumulations will be possible with that, but not for everyone.

The NAM shows a farther south track with that system and shows more snow in the southeast from the east coast storm…

NAM 2

I doubt the NAM is correct with what it shows for the track of the Wednesday night light snow maker. The greatest chance of putting a little snow on the ground would be along and south of the Interstate 64 corridor.

Thanksgiving Day should feature some light snow to start with flurries lingering into the afternoon. Highs will generally run in the 30s.

The weather over the next few days will be a high impact travel event across the eastern half of the country. The snowstorm in the east will cause a ripple effect to airports across the rest of the country…

NAM

Our weather will improve for Black Friday, but it looks cold for shoppers. Rain will increase late this weekend and take us into early next week. December will start wet and rather mild with highs in the 50s for several days. At the same time, a ton of cold air is building up across Canada. This similar setup last December led to a severe weather outbreak across our region and that began our march into the very harsh winter.

The Ensembles have been hinting at that possibility for the end of next week. The GFS is now showing a big storm that has thunder ahead of it and a quick blast of winter behind it…

GFS 3

We shall see how that plays out, but it’s an interesting signal to follow from more than a week away.

Speaking of interesting signals… the CFS 10 day snowfall totals for the Christmas and New Year’s holidays…

CFS 2

CFS 3

I feel like I rambled with this post. It’s late and I’m tired so cut your friendly weatherdude some slack! 🙂

Updates come your way later today. Take care.