Good evening, friends. Temps continue to tumble from northwest to southeast as colder air continues to push in from the northwest. That colder air could cause a couple of snow flurries tonight and Wednesday.

The bigger story continues to be the potential for light snow on Thursday and the potential for a little bigger system by Saturday and a much bigger system by Christmas Eve.

The potential for a little snow on Thursday is increasing. The western half of the state has a decent chance of picking up on some light accumulations. The European Ensembles…

Euro 4

Some light snow and flurries will try to streak across the entire state before weakening.

The next system coming our way is the southern storm from Friday night into Saturday. The models continue to go back and forth on the strength and track of this, but I do expect a decent swath of winter weather across Kentucky.

The latest European Model shows this well…

Euro Snow

The European Ensembles show a greater shield of winter weather…

Euro 5

 

My concern continues to revolve around the possibility the models are in their window of waffle and go back toward a slightly stronger system.

The new SREF 12 hour precipitation numbers through the middle of Friday night show my concern…

 

 

SREF

That’s a lot more juice than many of the operational models are showing.

 

Christmas week continues to show some BIG BIG potential for cold and snow for millions of people and that includes our region. The prime time to watch will be late Tuesday into Christmas Eve. The upper levels are primed for a big system. Check out the European Ensembles Christmas Eve…

 

Euro 3

The GFS Ensembles aren’t too far behind…

GFS 3Another system will follow that up a few days after Christmas.

I said on here about a week ago that any winter weather we get before next week would be a bonus. The REAL action starts Christmas week and goes through January.

I will see you with a full update later tonight. Take care.