Good Saturday, everyone. A small taste of winter weather is pushing across parts of the bluegrass state early today. But, the main story of the forecast period continues to be on the potential for a Christmas Eve and Day storm system.

Today’s flakes will be early and still don’t look like a big deal, but a coating is possible for a few areas. The best chance for that should be across the southeast.

Current temperatures

Temps today will be back into the mid and upper 30s for many as the flakes wind down. Temps for Sunday will be in the upper 30s to low 40s with a mix of sun and clouds.

The main focus of the forecast continues to be on the developing storm system for late Tuesday into Christmas Eve. I like what the Canadian model is doing…

Canadian

That continues to take the low right on top of us on Tuesday with heavy rain and wind. As that storm deepens into the Great Lakes, temps crash around here with a switch to some snow with snow showers and flurries Christmas Eve into Christmas Morning.

Can that scenario give us SOME snow on the ground? That remains to be seen, but some flakes should be flying around as Santa comes to town. Winds should also be super duper gusty.

The above model depiction is similar to what the folks at the WPC are thinking. Wednesday morning…

hpc

The overall pattern continues to transition into a harsh winter setup for much of the country that likely carries us into January. I mentioned in earlier posts about how the supercomputer analog years all featured big cold air outbreaks. Check out the what the models show as we wrap up 2014…

GFSThis is a very good pattern ahead for cold and snow lovers. Every system won’t produce big snows or even snow… our region should be sitting pretty on a few occasions. Several of those same supercomputer model years also featured memorable storms.

Posts today will be sporadic at best. I will tweet some thoughts.

Have a great day and take care.