Good Tuesday, folks. As we continue to wait on the return of Old Man Winter, we get one more day of nice weather to enjoy. That means my 4 day weekend comes to an end with a perfect batting average. Now, If I could only get the forecasts to hit in that range. ๐Ÿ˜‰

Temps today will be back to around the 50 degree mark in the north and east with milder stuff west and south. Winds will be very gusty ahead of a cold front sweeping in by tonight. That front looks to have rather wimpy moisture with it, but could spit out a few showers…

We’ve harped a lot on the temp forecasts being off from the models and for good reason. Something else I’m noticing is the models constantly overplaying precipitation amounts. Doesn’t matter if it’s rain or snow, the results of late aren’t even close to what the data points to.

Regardless of that… this has been a dry winter for many. I know we all get caught up in wondering where the snow is… but it’s hard to produce snow without precipitation.

Back to the weather ahead of us. Some very light snow showers or flurries will be possible behind this front over the next few days. Possible is the key word.

A storm system will develop across Texas and then roll eastward along the Gulf Coastย and up the east coastย later this week. The European Model continues to be the most developed and farther north and west with the track of the storm…

EuroAs you can see, the latest run brings precipitation into much of the state. We shall see how that system evolves on the models in the coming days.

A big ridge develops across the west coast this weekend and allows for a strong disturbance to drop into our region from the northwest…

GFS 2

That’s a pretty strong system digging in and is a setup that usually develops a healthy storm system across our part of the world. I’m really trying to JUST look at the upper levels instead of focusing on the lowest levels where the models are really struggling, right now.

I will update things later today. For now, it’s back to enjoying my final day of my extended weekend. ๐Ÿ™‚

Take care.